His shots are worth a little less than the league's, and he makes them for more.
How we counted it
| Expected points: his 74 shots, kind by kind | 65.7 |
|---|---|
| ÷ 74 shots | 0.89 |
| Points from the floor: 2 × 28 + 13 | 69 |
| ÷ 74 shots | 0.93 |
Expected points are measured against league rates through round 13.
| Kind of shot | Shots | Worth | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mid-range · Drive33 % of 219 league shots | 1 | 0.67 | 0.7 |
| Mid-range · Drive · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 34 % of 332 | 1 | 0.67 | 0.7 |
| Mid-range · Post-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 32 % of 1 368 | 1 | 0.64 | 0.6 |
| Mid-range · Catch and shoot29 % of 203 league shots | 4 | 0.57 | 2.3 |
| Mid-range · Pull-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 32 % of 606 | 1 | 0.64 | 0.6 |
| Rim · Drive57 % of 838 league shots | 5 | 1.15 | 5.7 |
| Rim · Drive · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 57 % of 1 272 | 2 | 1.15 | 2.3 |
| Rim · Drive · fast break58 % of 235 league shots | 3 | 1.17 | 3.5 |
| Rim · Catch and shootonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 58 % of 1 715 | 2 | 1.16 | 2.3 |
| Rim · Catch and shoot · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 58 % of 1 715 | 1 | 1.16 | 1.2 |
| Three · Driveonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 29 % of 2 432 | 2 | 0.88 | 1.8 |
| Three · Catch and shoot28 % of 1 429 league shots | 38 | 0.85 | 32.4 |
| Three · Catch and shoot · second chance30 % of 243 league shots | 6 | 0.90 | 5.4 |
| Three · Catch and shoot · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 29 % of 1 883 | 3 | 0.87 | 2.6 |
| Three · Pull-up30 % of 292 league shots | 2 | 0.90 | 1.8 |
| Three · Pull-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 30 % of 394 | 2 | 0.91 | 1.8 |
| Total adds up | 74 | 0.89 | 65.7 |