His shots are worth a little less than the league's, and he makes them for less.
How we counted it
| Expected points: his 49 shots, kind by kind | 50.3 |
|---|---|
| ÷ 49 shots | 1.03 |
| Points from the floor: 2 × 19 + 6 | 44 |
| ÷ 49 shots | 0.90 |
Expected points are measured against league rates through round 14.
| Kind of shot | Shots | Worth | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mid-range · Driveonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 40 % of 247 | 2 | 0.80 | 1.6 |
| Mid-range · Drive · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 40 % of 247 | 2 | 0.80 | 1.6 |
| Mid-range · Post-uponly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 47 % of 207 | 3 | 0.94 | 2.8 |
| Mid-range · Catch and shootonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 43 % of 1 215 | 3 | 0.85 | 2.6 |
| Mid-range · Catch and shoot · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 43 % of 1 215 | 1 | 0.85 | 0.9 |
| Mid-range · Pull-up40 % of 408 league shots | 4 | 0.81 | 3.2 |
| Rim · Drive62 % of 975 league shots | 4 | 1.25 | 5.0 |
| Rim · Drive · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 65 % of 1 539 | 1 | 1.29 | 1.3 |
| Rim · Drive · fast break71 % of 366 league shots | 1 | 1.42 | 1.4 |
| Rim · Catch and shoot63 % of 227 league shots | 1 | 1.25 | 1.2 |
| Three · Driveonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 33 % of 202 | 2 | 0.98 | 2.0 |
| Three · Post-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 36 % of 2 510 | 1 | 1.07 | 1.1 |
| Three · Catch and shoot37 % of 1 336 league shots | 18 | 1.10 | 19.8 |
| Three · Catch and shoot · second chance32 % of 206 league shots | 4 | 0.95 | 3.8 |
| Three · Pull-up33 % of 335 league shots | 1 | 0.99 | 1.0 |
| Three · Pull-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 35 % of 448 | 1 | 1.04 | 1.0 |
| Total adds up | 49 | 1.03 | 50.3 |