His shots are worth a little less than the league's, and he makes them for less.
How we counted it
| Expected points: his 52 shots, kind by kind | 50.7 |
|---|---|
| ÷ 52 shots | 0.97 |
| Points from the floor: 2 × 20 + 10 | 50 |
| ÷ 52 shots | 0.96 |
Expected points are measured against league rates through round 13.
| Kind of shot | Shots | Worth | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mid-range · Drive33 % of 223 league shots | 6 | 0.66 | 4.0 |
| Mid-range · Drive · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 35 % of 314 | 1 | 0.71 | 0.7 |
| Mid-range · Post-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 36 % of 1 260 | 1 | 0.73 | 0.7 |
| Mid-range · Catch and shoot32 % of 223 league shots | 1 | 0.65 | 0.6 |
| Mid-range · Pull-up40 % of 412 league shots | 1 | 0.80 | 0.8 |
| Mid-range · Pull-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 40 % of 521 | 1 | 0.79 | 0.8 |
| Mid-range · Pull-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 40 % of 521 | 1 | 0.79 | 0.8 |
| Rim · Drive59 % of 914 league shots | 7 | 1.19 | 8.3 |
| Rim · Drive · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 60 % of 1 345 | 1 | 1.21 | 1.2 |
| Rim · Drive · fast break68 % of 266 league shots | 3 | 1.37 | 4.1 |
| Rim · Post-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 60 % of 1 723 | 2 | 1.20 | 2.4 |
| Rim · Catch and shootonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 60 % of 1 723 | 1 | 1.20 | 1.2 |
| Three · Drive · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 32 % of 2 364 | 1 | 0.96 | 1.0 |
| Three · Catch and shoot32 % of 1 401 league shots | 13 | 0.97 | 12.7 |
| Three · Catch and shoot · second chance32 % of 240 league shots | 6 | 0.96 | 5.8 |
| Three · Catch and shoot · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 32 % of 1 843 | 1 | 0.95 | 1.0 |
| Three · Pull-up31 % of 268 league shots | 4 | 0.93 | 3.7 |
| Three · Pull-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 31 % of 366 | 1 | 0.93 | 0.9 |
| Total adds up | 52 | 0.97 | 50.7 |