His shots are worth a little less than the league's, and he makes them for less.
How we counted it
| Expected points: his 28 shots, kind by kind | 29.3 |
|---|---|
| ÷ 28 shots | 1.05 |
| Points from the floor: 2 × 12 + 1 | 25 |
| ÷ 28 shots | 0.89 |
Expected points are measured against league rates through round 12.
| Kind of shot | Shots | Worth | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mid-range · Driveonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 38 % of 711 | 3 | 0.75 | 2.3 |
| Mid-range · Drive · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 38 % of 711 | 1 | 0.75 | 0.7 |
| Mid-range · Post-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 38 % of 711 | 1 | 0.75 | 0.7 |
| Mid-range · Pull-up33 % of 218 league shots | 2 | 0.65 | 1.3 |
| Mid-range · Pull-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 33 % of 311 | 1 | 0.66 | 0.7 |
| Rim · Drive63 % of 532 league shots | 6 | 1.26 | 7.6 |
| Rim · Drive · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 64 % of 838 | 1 | 1.28 | 1.3 |
| Rim · Drive · fast break65 % of 212 league shots | 1 | 1.29 | 1.3 |
| Rim · Post-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 63 % of 1 232 | 1 | 1.26 | 1.3 |
| Rim · Catch and shootonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 60 % of 204 | 1 | 1.20 | 1.2 |
| Rim · Catch and shoot · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 60 % of 204 | 1 | 1.20 | 1.2 |
| Rim · Catch and shoot · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 60 % of 204 | 1 | 1.20 | 1.2 |
| Three · Driveonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 36 % of 1 380 | 1 | 1.08 | 1.1 |
| Three · Catch and shoot36 % of 793 league shots | 3 | 1.07 | 3.2 |
| Three · Catch and shoot · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 35 % of 1 049 | 1 | 1.05 | 1.0 |
| Three · Catch and shoot · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 35 % of 1 049 | 2 | 1.05 | 2.1 |
| Three · Pull-uponly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 38 % of 221 | 1 | 1.14 | 1.1 |
| Total adds up | 28 | 1.05 | 29.3 |