His shots are worth a little less than the league's, and he makes them for less.
How we counted it
| Expected points: his 43 shots, kind by kind | 45.5 |
|---|---|
| ÷ 43 shots | 1.06 |
| Points from the floor: 2 × 19 + 4 | 42 |
| ÷ 43 shots | 0.98 |
Expected points are measured against league rates through round 15.
| Kind of shot | Shots | Worth | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mid-range · Driveonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 33 % of 275 | 1 | 0.67 | 0.7 |
| Mid-range · Post-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 37 % of 1 274 | 1 | 0.74 | 0.7 |
| Mid-range · Catch and shoot45 % of 204 league shots | 3 | 0.90 | 2.7 |
| Mid-range · Pull-up37 % of 418 league shots | 6 | 0.74 | 4.5 |
| Mid-range · Pull-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 36 % of 552 | 1 | 0.72 | 0.7 |
| Rim · Drive63 % of 1 033 league shots | 8 | 1.26 | 10.1 |
| Rim · Drive · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 64 % of 1 613 | 3 | 1.28 | 3.8 |
| Rim · Drive · fast break70 % of 387 league shots | 2 | 1.41 | 2.8 |
| Rim · Post-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 60 % of 294 | 1 | 1.20 | 1.2 |
| Rim · Pull-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 64 % of 2 435 | 1 | 1.27 | 1.3 |
| Three · Driveonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 34 % of 208 | 2 | 1.01 | 2.0 |
| Three · Catch and shoot36 % of 1 535 league shots | 5 | 1.07 | 5.3 |
| Three · Catch and shoot · second chance37 % of 248 league shots | 1 | 1.11 | 1.1 |
| Three · Catch and shoot · fast break37 % of 255 league shots | 3 | 1.11 | 3.3 |
| Three · Catch and shoot · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 36 % of 2 067 | 1 | 1.08 | 1.1 |
| Three · Pull-up35 % of 321 league shots | 4 | 1.05 | 4.2 |
| Total adds up | 43 | 1.06 | 45.5 |