His shots are worth a little less than the league's, and he makes them for more.
How we counted it
| Expected points: his 39 shots, kind by kind | 39.2 |
|---|---|
| ÷ 39 shots | 1.01 |
| Points from the floor: 2 × 20 + 4 | 44 |
| ÷ 39 shots | 1.13 |
Expected points are measured against league rates through round 12.
| Kind of shot | Shots | Worth | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mid-range · Driveonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 35 % of 252 | 2 | 0.69 | 1.4 |
| Mid-range · Drive · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 35 % of 252 | 1 | 0.69 | 0.7 |
| Mid-range · Drive · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 35 % of 252 | 3 | 0.69 | 2.1 |
| Mid-range · Post-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 36 % of 1 001 | 2 | 0.72 | 1.4 |
| Mid-range · Pull-up36 % of 312 league shots | 3 | 0.71 | 2.1 |
| Rim · Drive60 % of 662 league shots | 6 | 1.19 | 7.2 |
| Rim · Drive · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 60 % of 1 043 | 1 | 1.21 | 1.2 |
| Rim · Drive · fast break63 % of 219 league shots | 2 | 1.26 | 2.5 |
| Rim · Drive · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 60 % of 1 043 | 3 | 1.21 | 3.6 |
| Rim · Post-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 61 % of 1 523 | 2 | 1.22 | 2.4 |
| Rim · Post-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 61 % of 1 523 | 1 | 1.22 | 1.2 |
| Rim · Catch and shootonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 61 % of 222 | 1 | 1.23 | 1.2 |
| Rim · Pull-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 61 % of 1 523 | 1 | 1.22 | 1.2 |
| Three · Drive · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 33 % of 1 803 | 1 | 1.00 | 1.0 |
| Three · Catch and shoot33 % of 1 008 league shots | 8 | 1.00 | 8.0 |
| Three · Pull-up32 % of 244 league shots | 1 | 0.95 | 1.0 |
| Three · Pull-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 33 % of 320 | 1 | 0.98 | 1.0 |
| Total adds up | 39 | 1.01 | 39.2 |