His shots are worth a little more than the league's, and he makes them for less.
How we counted it
| Expected points: his 63 shots, kind by kind | 66.2 |
|---|---|
| ÷ 63 shots | 1.05 |
| Points from the floor: 2 × 20 + 7 | 47 |
| ÷ 63 shots | 0.75 |
Expected points are measured against league rates through round 18.
| Kind of shot | Shots | Worth | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mid-range · Drive · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 34 % of 246 | 1 | 0.68 | 0.7 |
| Mid-range · Catch and shoot45 % of 200 league shots | 3 | 0.89 | 2.7 |
| Mid-range · Catch and shoot · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 43 % of 257 | 1 | 0.86 | 0.8 |
| Mid-range · Pull-up36 % of 359 league shots | 4 | 0.73 | 2.9 |
| Rim · Drive58 % of 818 league shots | 9 | 1.17 | 10.5 |
| Rim · Drive · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 60 % of 1 282 | 2 | 1.20 | 2.4 |
| Rim · Drive · fast break65 % of 266 league shots | 7 | 1.29 | 9.0 |
| Rim · Drive · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 60 % of 1 282 | 1 | 1.20 | 1.2 |
| Rim · Post-uponly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 60 % of 211 | 1 | 1.19 | 1.2 |
| Rim · Catch and shootonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 59 % of 233 | 2 | 1.18 | 2.4 |
| Rim · Catch and shoot · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 59 % of 233 | 1 | 1.18 | 1.2 |
| Rim · Catch and shoot · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 59 % of 233 | 2 | 1.18 | 2.4 |
| Rim · Pull-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 60 % of 1 812 | 1 | 1.20 | 1.2 |
| Three · Driveonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 33 % of 2 223 | 1 | 0.98 | 1.0 |
| Three · Drive · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 33 % of 2 223 | 1 | 0.98 | 1.0 |
| Three · Drive · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 33 % of 2 223 | 1 | 0.98 | 1.0 |
| Three · Catch and shoot33 % of 1 292 league shots | 13 | 0.98 | 12.8 |
| Three · Catch and shoot · second chance32 % of 220 league shots | 3 | 0.95 | 2.8 |
| Three · Catch and shoot · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 33 % of 1 717 | 3 | 0.99 | 3.0 |
| Three · Catch and shoot · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 33 % of 1 717 | 1 | 0.99 | 1.0 |
| Three · Pull-up34 % of 268 league shots | 3 | 1.02 | 3.0 |
| Three · Pull-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 33 % of 368 | 2 | 0.99 | 2.0 |
| Total adds up | 63 | 1.05 | 66.2 |