His shots are worth a little less than the league's, and he makes them for less.
How we counted it
| Expected points: his 32 shots, kind by kind | 32.6 |
|---|---|
| ÷ 32 shots | 1.02 |
| Points from the floor: 2 × 12 + 4 | 28 |
| ÷ 32 shots | 0.88 |
Expected points are measured against league rates through round 13.
| Kind of shot | Shots | Worth | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mid-range · Drive · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 36 % of 739 | 1 | 0.73 | 0.7 |
| Mid-range · Drive · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 36 % of 739 | 2 | 0.73 | 1.5 |
| Mid-range · Post-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 36 % of 739 | 1 | 0.73 | 0.7 |
| Mid-range · Catch and shootonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 36 % of 739 | 1 | 0.73 | 0.7 |
| Mid-range · Pull-up36 % of 246 league shots | 1 | 0.72 | 0.7 |
| Mid-range · Pull-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 36 % of 325 | 2 | 0.73 | 1.5 |
| Rim · Drive64 % of 587 league shots | 2 | 1.27 | 2.5 |
| Rim · Drive · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 64 % of 907 | 1 | 1.27 | 1.3 |
| Rim · Drive · fast break69 % of 213 league shots | 1 | 1.37 | 1.4 |
| Rim · Post-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 64 % of 1 371 | 1 | 1.28 | 1.3 |
| Rim · Catch and shootonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 64 % of 1 371 | 1 | 1.28 | 1.3 |
| Rim · Catch and shoot · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 64 % of 1 371 | 1 | 1.28 | 1.3 |
| Rim · Pull-up · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 64 % of 1 371 | 1 | 1.28 | 1.3 |
| Three · Driveonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 35 % of 1 529 | 1 | 1.05 | 1.0 |
| Three · Catch and shoot34 % of 823 league shots | 11 | 1.02 | 11.2 |
| Three · Catch and shoot · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 35 % of 1 133 | 1 | 1.04 | 1.0 |
| Three · Pull-uponly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 36 % of 269 | 3 | 1.08 | 3.2 |
| Total adds up | 32 | 1.02 | 32.6 |