His shots are worth a little less than the league's, and he makes them for more.
How we counted it
| Expected points: his 129 shots, kind by kind | 120.2 |
|---|---|
| ÷ 129 shots | 0.93 |
| Points from the floor: 2 × 72 + 29 | 173 |
| ÷ 129 shots | 1.34 |
Expected points are measured against league rates through round 13.
| Kind of shot | Shots | Worth | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mid-range · Drive26 % of 225 league shots | 3 | 0.52 | 1.5 |
| Mid-range · Drive · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 30 % of 334 | 2 | 0.60 | 1.2 |
| Mid-range · Drive · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 30 % of 334 | 1 | 0.60 | 0.6 |
| Mid-range · Post-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 34 % of 1 207 | 3 | 0.68 | 2.0 |
| Mid-range · Post-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 34 % of 1 207 | 2 | 0.68 | 1.4 |
| Mid-range · Post-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 34 % of 1 207 | 1 | 0.68 | 0.7 |
| Mid-range · Catch and shoot34 % of 209 league shots | 8 | 0.69 | 5.5 |
| Mid-range · Catch and shoot · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 36 % of 270 | 2 | 0.72 | 1.4 |
| Mid-range · Pull-up37 % of 347 league shots | 9 | 0.75 | 6.7 |
| Mid-range · Pull-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 36 % of 470 | 1 | 0.72 | 0.7 |
| Mid-range · Pull-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 36 % of 470 | 1 | 0.72 | 0.7 |
| Rim · Drive58 % of 967 league shots | 15 | 1.16 | 17.3 |
| Rim · Drive · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 58 % of 1 448 | 4 | 1.16 | 4.6 |
| Rim · Drive · fast break61 % of 289 league shots | 2 | 1.22 | 2.5 |
| Rim · Post-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 57 % of 1 918 | 2 | 1.15 | 2.3 |
| Rim · Catch and shootonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 57 % of 1 918 | 12 | 1.15 | 13.8 |
| Rim · Catch and shoot · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 57 % of 1 918 | 1 | 1.15 | 1.2 |
| Rim · Pull-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 57 % of 1 918 | 1 | 1.15 | 1.2 |
| Rim · Pull-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 57 % of 1 918 | 1 | 1.15 | 1.2 |
| Three · Driveonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 31 % of 2 286 | 2 | 0.93 | 1.9 |
| Three · Drive · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 31 % of 2 286 | 1 | 0.93 | 0.9 |
| Three · Catch and shoot32 % of 1 411 league shots | 32 | 0.97 | 30.9 |
| Three · Catch and shoot · second chance27 % of 217 league shots | 6 | 0.80 | 4.8 |
| Three · Catch and shoot · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 32 % of 1 821 | 3 | 0.95 | 2.9 |
| Three · Catch and shoot · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 32 % of 1 821 | 1 | 0.95 | 1.0 |
| Three · Pull-up28 % of 253 league shots | 7 | 0.84 | 5.9 |
| Three · Pull-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 30 % of 328 | 3 | 0.91 | 2.7 |
| Three · Pull-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 30 % of 328 | 3 | 0.91 | 2.7 |
| Total adds up | 129 | 0.93 | 120.2 |