His shots are worth a little more than the league's, and he makes them for less.
How we counted it
| Expected points: his 74 shots, kind by kind | 73.5 |
|---|---|
| ÷ 74 shots | 0.99 |
| Points from the floor: 2 × 27 + 10 | 64 |
| ÷ 74 shots | 0.86 |
Expected points are measured against league rates through round 12.
| Kind of shot | Shots | Worth | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mid-range · Driveonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 35 % of 264 | 3 | 0.70 | 2.1 |
| Mid-range · Drive · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 35 % of 264 | 1 | 0.70 | 0.7 |
| Mid-range · Catch and shoot37 % of 207 league shots | 1 | 0.73 | 0.7 |
| Mid-range · Pull-up41 % of 331 league shots | 2 | 0.82 | 1.7 |
| Mid-range · Pull-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 40 % of 421 | 1 | 0.80 | 0.8 |
| Rim · Drive56 % of 774 league shots | 13 | 1.12 | 14.5 |
| Rim · Drive · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 57 % of 1 142 | 3 | 1.13 | 3.4 |
| Rim · Drive · fast break61 % of 212 league shots | 2 | 1.22 | 2.4 |
| Rim · Drive · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 57 % of 1 142 | 1 | 1.13 | 1.1 |
| Rim · Post-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 57 % of 1 510 | 1 | 1.15 | 1.2 |
| Rim · Post-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 57 % of 1 510 | 1 | 1.15 | 1.2 |
| Rim · Post-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 57 % of 1 510 | 1 | 1.15 | 1.2 |
| Rim · Catch and shootonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 57 % of 1 510 | 5 | 1.15 | 5.7 |
| Rim · Catch and shoot · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 57 % of 1 510 | 3 | 1.15 | 3.4 |
| Rim · Pull-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 57 % of 1 510 | 1 | 1.15 | 1.2 |
| Three · Driveonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 31 % of 1 964 | 2 | 0.93 | 1.9 |
| Three · Drive · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 31 % of 1 964 | 1 | 0.93 | 0.9 |
| Three · Catch and shoot32 % of 1 198 league shots | 20 | 0.96 | 19.2 |
| Three · Catch and shoot · second chance24 % of 220 league shots | 4 | 0.71 | 2.8 |
| Three · Catch and shoot · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 31 % of 1 576 | 6 | 0.93 | 5.6 |
| Three · Pull-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 31 % of 284 | 1 | 0.93 | 0.9 |
| Three · Pull-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 31 % of 284 | 1 | 0.93 | 0.9 |
| Total adds up | 74 | 0.99 | 73.5 |