His shots are worth a little less than the league's, and he makes them for more.
How we counted it
| Expected points: his 28 shots, kind by kind | 31.5 |
|---|---|
| ÷ 28 shots | 1.13 |
| Points from the floor: 2 × 17 + 2 | 36 |
| ÷ 28 shots | 1.29 |
Expected points are measured against league rates through round 14.
| Kind of shot | Shots | Worth | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mid-range · Driveonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 43 % of 597 | 1 | 0.86 | 0.8 |
| Mid-range · Post-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 43 % of 597 | 5 | 0.86 | 4.3 |
| Mid-range · Pull-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 44 % of 281 | 1 | 0.89 | 0.9 |
| Mid-range · Pull-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 44 % of 281 | 1 | 0.89 | 0.9 |
| Rim · Drive60 % of 483 league shots | 5 | 1.21 | 6.0 |
| Rim · Drive · fast break71 % of 222 league shots | 1 | 1.41 | 1.4 |
| Rim · Drive · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 64 % of 819 | 1 | 1.27 | 1.3 |
| Rim · Post-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 63 % of 1 304 | 1 | 1.26 | 1.2 |
| Rim · Post-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 63 % of 1 304 | 1 | 1.26 | 1.2 |
| Rim · Catch and shootonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 63 % of 226 | 1 | 1.27 | 1.3 |
| Rim · Catch and shoot · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 63 % of 226 | 2 | 1.27 | 2.5 |
| Rim · Catch and shoot · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 63 % of 226 | 1 | 1.27 | 1.3 |
| Rim · Pull-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 63 % of 1 304 | 1 | 1.26 | 1.3 |
| Three · Catch and shoot39 % of 765 league shots | 3 | 1.16 | 3.5 |
| Three · Catch and shoot · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 39 % of 1 031 | 1 | 1.17 | 1.2 |
| Three · Catch and shoot · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 39 % of 1 031 | 1 | 1.17 | 1.2 |
| Three · Catch and shoot · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 39 % of 1 031 | 1 | 1.17 | 1.2 |
| Total adds up | 28 | 1.13 | 31.5 |