His shots are worth a little less than the league's, and he makes them for less.
How we counted it
| Expected points: his 33 shots, kind by kind | 32.8 |
|---|---|
| ÷ 33 shots | 0.99 |
| Points from the floor: 2 × 10 + 6 | 26 |
| ÷ 33 shots | 0.79 |
Expected points are measured against league rates through round 22.
| Kind of shot | Shots | Worth | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mid-range · Drive · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 38 % of 331 | 2 | 0.76 | 1.5 |
| Mid-range · Post-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 37 % of 1 482 | 1 | 0.73 | 0.7 |
| Mid-range · Catch and shootonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 35 % of 266 | 1 | 0.70 | 0.7 |
| Mid-range · Pull-up38 % of 530 league shots | 3 | 0.75 | 2.3 |
| Mid-range · Pull-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 38 % of 694 | 1 | 0.76 | 0.8 |
| Rim · Drive61 % of 1 175 league shots | 2 | 1.21 | 2.4 |
| Rim · Drive · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 61 % of 1 784 | 1 | 1.23 | 1.2 |
| Rim · Catch and shootonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 62 % of 318 | 1 | 1.25 | 1.2 |
| Three · Drive · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 34 % of 3 025 | 1 | 1.02 | 1.0 |
| Three · Catch and shoot35 % of 1 698 league shots | 14 | 1.04 | 14.6 |
| Three · Catch and shoot · second chance38 % of 308 league shots | 1 | 1.13 | 1.1 |
| Three · Catch and shoot · fast break36 % of 255 league shots | 3 | 1.08 | 3.3 |
| Three · Pull-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 32 % of 526 | 1 | 0.97 | 1.0 |
| Three · Pull-up · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 32 % of 526 | 1 | 0.97 | 1.0 |
| Total adds up | 33 | 0.99 | 32.8 |