His shots are worth a little less than the league's, and he makes them for less.
How we counted it
| Expected points: his 43 shots, kind by kind | 40.1 |
|---|---|
| ÷ 43 shots | 0.93 |
| Points from the floor: 2 × 16 + 5 | 37 |
| ÷ 43 shots | 0.86 |
Expected points are measured against league rates through round 22.
| Kind of shot | Shots | Worth | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mid-range · Drive · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 37 % of 376 | 1 | 0.74 | 0.8 |
| Mid-range · Drive · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 37 % of 376 | 1 | 0.74 | 0.7 |
| Mid-range · Post-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 37 % of 1 475 | 4 | 0.75 | 3.0 |
| Mid-range · Post-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 37 % of 1 475 | 2 | 0.75 | 1.5 |
| Mid-range · Catch and shoot40 % of 242 league shots | 2 | 0.81 | 1.6 |
| Mid-range · Catch and shoot · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 41 % of 316 | 1 | 0.82 | 0.8 |
| Mid-range · Pull-up37 % of 472 league shots | 6 | 0.75 | 4.5 |
| Mid-range · Pull-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 37 % of 616 | 1 | 0.74 | 0.7 |
| Rim · Post-up62 % of 205 league shots | 4 | 1.25 | 5.0 |
| Rim · Catch and shoot64 % of 224 league shots | 1 | 1.28 | 1.3 |
| Rim · Pull-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 62 % of 2 521 | 1 | 1.24 | 1.2 |
| Three · Post-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 33 % of 2 968 | 1 | 1.00 | 1.0 |
| Three · Catch and shoot33 % of 1 727 league shots | 9 | 1.00 | 9.0 |
| Three · Catch and shoot · second chance35 % of 285 league shots | 3 | 1.05 | 3.2 |
| Three · Pull-up33 % of 365 league shots | 3 | 0.98 | 2.9 |
| Three · Pull-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 32 % of 477 | 2 | 0.96 | 1.9 |
| Three · Pull-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 32 % of 477 | 1 | 0.96 | 1.0 |
| Total adds up | 43 | 0.93 | 40.1 |