His shots are worth a little less than the league's, and he makes them for more.
How we counted it
| Expected points: his 40 shots, kind by kind | 41.8 |
|---|---|
| ÷ 40 shots | 1.04 |
| Points from the floor: 2 × 19 + 11 | 49 |
| ÷ 40 shots | 1.23 |
Expected points are measured against league rates through round 12.
| Kind of shot | Shots | Worth | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mid-range · Driveonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 41 % of 779 | 1 | 0.83 | 0.8 |
| Mid-range · Drive · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 41 % of 779 | 1 | 0.83 | 0.8 |
| Mid-range · Post-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 41 % of 779 | 2 | 0.83 | 1.7 |
| Mid-range · Post-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 41 % of 779 | 1 | 0.83 | 0.8 |
| Mid-range · Catch and shootonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 41 % of 779 | 1 | 0.83 | 0.8 |
| Mid-range · Pull-up41 % of 260 league shots | 1 | 0.82 | 0.8 |
| Rim · Drive60 % of 612 league shots | 1 | 1.20 | 1.2 |
| Rim · Drive · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 61 % of 943 | 1 | 1.21 | 1.2 |
| Rim · Post-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 62 % of 1 491 | 2 | 1.24 | 2.5 |
| Rim · Catch and shootonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 63 % of 256 | 1 | 1.27 | 1.3 |
| Rim · Pull-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 62 % of 1 491 | 1 | 1.24 | 1.2 |
| Three · Driveonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 35 % of 1 701 | 3 | 1.06 | 3.2 |
| Three · Post-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 35 % of 1 701 | 2 | 1.06 | 2.1 |
| Three · Catch and shoot35 % of 939 league shots | 15 | 1.06 | 16.0 |
| Three · Catch and shoot · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 35 % of 1 295 | 2 | 1.04 | 2.1 |
| Three · Catch and shoot · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 35 % of 1 295 | 3 | 1.04 | 3.1 |
| Three · Catch and shoot · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 35 % of 1 295 | 1 | 1.04 | 1.1 |
| Three · Pull-uponly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 35 % of 273 | 1 | 1.04 | 1.1 |
| Total adds up | 40 | 1.04 | 41.8 |