His shots are worth a little less than the league's, and he makes them for more.
How we counted it
| Expected points: his 50 shots, kind by kind | 48.5 |
|---|---|
| ÷ 50 shots | 0.97 |
| Points from the floor: 2 × 21 + 10 | 52 |
| ÷ 50 shots | 1.04 |
Expected points are measured against league rates through round 10.
| Kind of shot | Shots | Worth | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mid-range · Driveonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 34 % of 632 | 1 | 0.68 | 0.7 |
| Mid-range · Post-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 34 % of 632 | 1 | 0.68 | 0.7 |
| Mid-range · Catch and shootonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 34 % of 632 | 4 | 0.68 | 2.7 |
| Mid-range · Catch and shoot · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 34 % of 632 | 1 | 0.68 | 0.7 |
| Mid-range · Pull-uponly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 35 % of 262 | 2 | 0.71 | 1.4 |
| Rim · Drive59 % of 471 league shots | 7 | 1.18 | 8.3 |
| Rim · Drive · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 58 % of 727 | 1 | 1.16 | 1.1 |
| Rim · Post-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 57 % of 990 | 1 | 1.15 | 1.1 |
| Rim · Catch and shootonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 57 % of 990 | 2 | 1.15 | 2.3 |
| Rim · Pull-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 57 % of 990 | 2 | 1.15 | 2.3 |
| Three · Catch and shoot33 % of 715 league shots | 19 | 0.98 | 18.6 |
| Three · Catch and shoot · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 32 % of 915 | 3 | 0.96 | 2.9 |
| Three · Catch and shoot · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 32 % of 915 | 2 | 0.96 | 1.9 |
| Three · Catch and shoot · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 32 % of 915 | 1 | 0.96 | 1.0 |
| Three · Pull-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 31 % of 1 155 | 3 | 0.93 | 2.8 |
| Total adds up | 50 | 0.97 | 48.5 |