His shots are worth a little less than the league's, and he makes them for more.
How we counted it
| Expected points: his 71 shots, kind by kind | 68.6 |
|---|---|
| ÷ 71 shots | 0.97 |
| Points from the floor: 2 × 32 + 15 | 79 |
| ÷ 71 shots | 1.11 |
Expected points are measured against league rates through round 12.
| Kind of shot | Shots | Worth | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mid-range · Driveonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 30 % of 262 | 1 | 0.60 | 0.6 |
| Mid-range · Post-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 34 % of 933 | 1 | 0.68 | 0.7 |
| Mid-range · Catch and shootonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 34 % of 933 | 7 | 0.68 | 4.8 |
| Mid-range · Catch and shoot · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 34 % of 933 | 1 | 0.68 | 0.7 |
| Mid-range · Pull-up38 % of 273 league shots | 2 | 0.75 | 1.5 |
| Rim · Drive58 % of 740 league shots | 8 | 1.15 | 9.2 |
| Rim · Drive · fast break62 % of 229 league shots | 2 | 1.23 | 2.5 |
| Rim · Post-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 57 % of 1 479 | 1 | 1.15 | 1.2 |
| Rim · Post-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 57 % of 1 479 | 1 | 1.15 | 1.1 |
| Rim · Catch and shootonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 57 % of 1 479 | 5 | 1.15 | 5.7 |
| Rim · Pull-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 57 % of 1 479 | 2 | 1.15 | 2.3 |
| Three · Catch and shoot32 % of 1 076 league shots | 29 | 0.97 | 28.1 |
| Three · Catch and shoot · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 32 % of 1 378 | 4 | 0.95 | 3.8 |
| Three · Catch and shoot · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 32 % of 1 378 | 2 | 0.95 | 1.9 |
| Three · Catch and shoot · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 32 % of 1 378 | 1 | 0.95 | 0.9 |
| Three · Pull-uponly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 30 % of 260 | 3 | 0.90 | 2.7 |
| Three · Pull-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 30 % of 260 | 1 | 0.90 | 0.9 |
| Total adds up | 71 | 0.97 | 68.6 |