His shots are worth a little more than the league's, and he makes them for less.
How we counted it
| Expected points: his 37 shots, kind by kind | 40.6 |
|---|---|
| ÷ 37 shots | 1.10 |
| Points from the floor: 2 × 16 + 5 | 37 |
| ÷ 37 shots | 1.00 |
Expected points are measured against league rates through round 15.
| Kind of shot | Shots | Worth | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mid-range · Post-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 39 % of 1 352 | 1 | 0.78 | 0.8 |
| Mid-range · Catch and shoot46 % of 204 league shots | 2 | 0.92 | 1.8 |
| Mid-range · Pull-up36 % of 418 league shots | 3 | 0.71 | 2.1 |
| Mid-range · Pull-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 36 % of 581 | 1 | 0.72 | 0.7 |
| Rim · Drive63 % of 980 league shots | 8 | 1.26 | 10.1 |
| Rim · Drive · fast break63 % of 361 league shots | 3 | 1.26 | 3.8 |
| Rim · Post-uponly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 66 % of 253 | 2 | 1.32 | 2.6 |
| Rim · Post-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 66 % of 253 | 2 | 1.32 | 2.6 |
| Rim · Post-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 66 % of 253 | 1 | 1.32 | 1.3 |
| Rim · Pull-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 63 % of 2 290 | 1 | 1.26 | 1.3 |
| Three · Drive · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 35 % of 2 638 | 1 | 1.04 | 1.0 |
| Three · Catch and shoot36 % of 1 520 league shots | 7 | 1.07 | 7.5 |
| Three · Catch and shoot · second chance28 % of 221 league shots | 1 | 0.84 | 0.8 |
| Three · Catch and shoot · fast break35 % of 254 league shots | 1 | 1.06 | 1.1 |
| Three · Pull-up34 % of 294 league shots | 2 | 1.03 | 2.1 |
| Three · Pull-up · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 33 % of 414 | 1 | 0.99 | 1.0 |
| Total adds up | 37 | 1.10 | 40.6 |