His shots are worth a little less than the league's, and he makes them for less.
How we counted it
| Expected points: his 45 shots, kind by kind | 47.2 |
|---|---|
| ÷ 45 shots | 1.05 |
| Points from the floor: 2 × 14 + 8 | 36 |
| ÷ 45 shots | 0.80 |
Expected points are measured against league rates through round 13.
| Kind of shot | Shots | Worth | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mid-range · Driveonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 38 % of 284 | 2 | 0.77 | 1.5 |
| Mid-range · Drive · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 38 % of 284 | 1 | 0.77 | 0.8 |
| Mid-range · Drive · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 38 % of 284 | 1 | 0.77 | 0.8 |
| Mid-range · Pull-up40 % of 357 league shots | 2 | 0.81 | 1.6 |
| Rim · Drive62 % of 893 league shots | 4 | 1.24 | 5.0 |
| Rim · Drive · fast break65 % of 297 league shots | 3 | 1.29 | 3.9 |
| Rim · Catch and shootonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 63 % of 235 | 1 | 1.27 | 1.3 |
| Rim · Pull-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 61 % of 1 902 | 1 | 1.21 | 1.2 |
| Three · Driveonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 35 % of 2 298 | 1 | 1.04 | 1.0 |
| Three · Drive · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 35 % of 2 298 | 1 | 1.04 | 1.0 |
| Three · Catch and shoot34 % of 1 325 league shots | 19 | 1.03 | 19.5 |
| Three · Catch and shoot · second chance34 % of 226 league shots | 3 | 1.02 | 3.1 |
| Three · Catch and shoot · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 35 % of 1 754 | 2 | 1.04 | 2.1 |
| Three · Catch and shoot · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 35 % of 1 754 | 1 | 1.04 | 1.0 |
| Three · Pull-up38 % of 287 league shots | 1 | 1.15 | 1.1 |
| Three · Pull-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 38 % of 377 | 2 | 1.15 | 2.3 |
| Total adds up | 45 | 1.05 | 47.2 |