His shots are worth a little less than the league's, and he makes them for more.
How we counted it
| Expected points: his 42 shots, kind by kind | 42.7 |
|---|---|
| ÷ 42 shots | 1.02 |
| Points from the floor: 2 × 20 + 5 | 45 |
| ÷ 42 shots | 1.07 |
Expected points are measured against league rates through round 19.
| Kind of shot | Shots | Worth | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mid-range · Driveonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 36 % of 257 | 2 | 0.72 | 1.4 |
| Mid-range · Drive · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 36 % of 257 | 1 | 0.72 | 0.7 |
| Mid-range · Drive · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 36 % of 257 | 1 | 0.72 | 0.7 |
| Mid-range · Post-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 38 % of 1 108 | 1 | 0.76 | 0.8 |
| Mid-range · Catch and shootonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 37 % of 234 | 2 | 0.74 | 1.5 |
| Mid-range · Catch and shoot · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 37 % of 234 | 1 | 0.74 | 0.7 |
| Mid-range · Pull-up40 % of 367 league shots | 3 | 0.80 | 2.4 |
| Mid-range · Pull-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 40 % of 507 | 1 | 0.80 | 0.8 |
| Rim · Drive58 % of 821 league shots | 7 | 1.16 | 8.1 |
| Rim · Drive · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 59 % of 1 198 | 2 | 1.17 | 2.3 |
| Rim · Drive · fast break65 % of 229 league shots | 4 | 1.29 | 5.2 |
| Rim · Post-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 58 % of 1 591 | 2 | 1.16 | 2.3 |
| Rim · Catch and shoot · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 58 % of 1 591 | 1 | 1.16 | 1.2 |
| Rim · Pull-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 58 % of 1 591 | 1 | 1.16 | 1.2 |
| Three · Catch and shoot36 % of 1 164 league shots | 8 | 1.07 | 8.6 |
| Three · Pull-up32 % of 303 league shots | 4 | 0.95 | 3.8 |
| Three · Pull-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 32 % of 392 | 1 | 0.95 | 1.0 |
| Total adds up | 42 | 1.02 | 42.7 |