His shots are worth a little less than the league's, and he makes them for more.
How we counted it
| Expected points: his 43 shots, kind by kind | 40.6 |
|---|---|
| ÷ 43 shots | 0.94 |
| Points from the floor: 2 × 24 + 7 | 55 |
| ÷ 43 shots | 1.28 |
Expected points are measured against league rates through round 18.
| Kind of shot | Shots | Worth | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mid-range · Drive37 % of 216 league shots | 4 | 0.74 | 3.0 |
| Mid-range · Drive · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 38 % of 317 | 1 | 0.76 | 0.8 |
| Mid-range · Post-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 38 % of 1 258 | 1 | 0.76 | 0.8 |
| Mid-range · Pull-up41 % of 373 league shots | 11 | 0.83 | 9.1 |
| Mid-range · Pull-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 39 % of 498 | 2 | 0.79 | 1.6 |
| Mid-range · Pull-up · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 39 % of 498 | 1 | 0.79 | 0.8 |
| Rim · Drive58 % of 819 league shots | 6 | 1.17 | 7.0 |
| Rim · Drive · fast break64 % of 249 league shots | 1 | 1.28 | 1.3 |
| Rim · Post-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 61 % of 1 765 | 2 | 1.23 | 2.4 |
| Rim · Pull-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 61 % of 1 765 | 1 | 1.23 | 1.2 |
| Three · Catch and shoot35 % of 1 291 league shots | 6 | 1.05 | 6.3 |
| Three · Catch and shoot · second chance28 % of 207 league shots | 2 | 0.84 | 1.7 |
| Three · Pull-up31 % of 254 league shots | 3 | 0.94 | 2.8 |
| Three · Pull-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 32 % of 345 | 1 | 0.95 | 0.9 |
| Three · Pull-up · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 32 % of 345 | 1 | 0.95 | 0.9 |
| Total adds up | 43 | 0.94 | 40.6 |