His shots are worth a little more than the league's, and he makes them for less.
How we counted it
| Expected points: his 115 shots, kind by kind | 110.0 |
|---|---|
| ÷ 115 shots | 0.96 |
| Points from the floor: 2 × 43 + 13 | 99 |
| ÷ 115 shots | 0.86 |
Expected points are measured against league rates through round 13.
| Kind of shot | Shots | Worth | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mid-range · Drive26 % of 225 league shots | 2 | 0.52 | 1.0 |
| Mid-range · Drive · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 30 % of 334 | 1 | 0.60 | 0.6 |
| Mid-range · Drive · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 30 % of 334 | 1 | 0.60 | 0.6 |
| Mid-range · Post-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 34 % of 1 207 | 2 | 0.68 | 1.4 |
| Mid-range · Post-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 34 % of 1 207 | 1 | 0.68 | 0.7 |
| Mid-range · Catch and shoot34 % of 209 league shots | 6 | 0.69 | 4.1 |
| Mid-range · Catch and shoot · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 36 % of 270 | 1 | 0.72 | 0.7 |
| Mid-range · Pull-up37 % of 347 league shots | 5 | 0.75 | 3.7 |
| Mid-range · Pull-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 36 % of 470 | 5 | 0.72 | 3.6 |
| Mid-range · Pull-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 36 % of 470 | 1 | 0.72 | 0.7 |
| Rim · Drive58 % of 967 league shots | 17 | 1.16 | 19.7 |
| Rim · Drive · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 58 % of 1 448 | 4 | 1.16 | 4.6 |
| Rim · Drive · fast break61 % of 289 league shots | 5 | 1.22 | 6.1 |
| Rim · Post-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 57 % of 1 918 | 1 | 1.15 | 1.2 |
| Rim · Catch and shootonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 57 % of 1 918 | 2 | 1.15 | 2.3 |
| Rim · Catch and shoot · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 57 % of 1 918 | 2 | 1.15 | 2.3 |
| Rim · Pull-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 57 % of 1 918 | 3 | 1.15 | 3.4 |
| Three · Driveonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 31 % of 2 286 | 3 | 0.93 | 2.8 |
| Three · Drive · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 31 % of 2 286 | 1 | 0.93 | 0.9 |
| Three · Catch and shoot32 % of 1 411 league shots | 44 | 0.97 | 42.5 |
| Three · Catch and shoot · second chance27 % of 217 league shots | 2 | 0.80 | 1.6 |
| Three · Catch and shoot · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 32 % of 1 821 | 3 | 0.95 | 2.9 |
| Three · Pull-up28 % of 253 league shots | 2 | 0.84 | 1.7 |
| Three · Pull-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 30 % of 328 | 1 | 0.91 | 0.9 |
| Total adds up | 115 | 0.96 | 110.0 |