His shots are worth a little less than the league's, and he makes them for less.
How we counted it
| Expected points: his 38 shots, kind by kind | 36.8 |
|---|---|
| ÷ 38 shots | 0.97 |
| Points from the floor: 2 × 15 + 6 | 36 |
| ÷ 38 shots | 0.95 |
Expected points are measured against league rates through round 19.
| Kind of shot | Shots | Worth | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mid-range · Driveonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 38 % of 229 | 1 | 0.76 | 0.8 |
| Mid-range · Drive · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 38 % of 229 | 1 | 0.76 | 0.8 |
| Mid-range · Catch and shootonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 36 % of 206 | 1 | 0.73 | 0.7 |
| Mid-range · Catch and shoot · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 36 % of 206 | 1 | 0.73 | 0.7 |
| Mid-range · Catch and shoot · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 36 % of 206 | 1 | 0.73 | 0.7 |
| Mid-range · Pull-up40 % of 260 league shots | 5 | 0.80 | 4.0 |
| Mid-range · Pull-up · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 40 % of 371 | 1 | 0.80 | 0.8 |
| Rim · Drive62 % of 674 league shots | 6 | 1.24 | 7.4 |
| Rim · Drive · fast break62 % of 205 league shots | 1 | 1.24 | 1.2 |
| Rim · Catch and shoot · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 62 % of 1 423 | 1 | 1.25 | 1.2 |
| Three · Driveonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 33 % of 1 801 | 1 | 0.99 | 1.0 |
| Three · Catch and shoot34 % of 1 078 league shots | 10 | 1.02 | 10.2 |
| Three · Catch and shoot · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 33 % of 1 454 | 1 | 1.00 | 1.0 |
| Three · Catch and shoot · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 33 % of 1 454 | 1 | 1.00 | 1.0 |
| Three · Catch and shoot · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 33 % of 1 454 | 1 | 1.00 | 1.0 |
| Three · Pull-uponly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 28 % of 233 | 3 | 0.85 | 2.5 |
| Three · Pull-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 28 % of 233 | 1 | 0.85 | 0.9 |
| Three · Pull-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 28 % of 233 | 1 | 0.85 | 0.9 |
| Total adds up | 38 | 0.97 | 36.8 |