His shots are worth a little less than the league's, and he makes them for less.
How we counted it
| Expected points: his 123 shots, kind by kind | 117.2 |
|---|---|
| ÷ 123 shots | 0.95 |
| Points from the floor: 2 × 45 + 16 | 106 |
| ÷ 123 shots | 0.86 |
Expected points are measured against league rates through round 13.
| Kind of shot | Shots | Worth | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mid-range · Drive36 % of 228 league shots | 4 | 0.73 | 2.9 |
| Mid-range · Drive · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 35 % of 326 | 3 | 0.71 | 2.1 |
| Mid-range · Drive · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 35 % of 326 | 1 | 0.71 | 0.7 |
| Mid-range · Post-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 33 % of 1 211 | 1 | 0.67 | 0.7 |
| Mid-range · Post-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 33 % of 1 211 | 1 | 0.67 | 0.7 |
| Mid-range · Post-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 33 % of 1 211 | 1 | 0.67 | 0.7 |
| Mid-range · Catch and shootonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 34 % of 270 | 8 | 0.67 | 5.4 |
| Mid-range · Catch and shoot · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 34 % of 270 | 1 | 0.67 | 0.7 |
| Mid-range · Catch and shoot · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 34 % of 270 | 1 | 0.67 | 0.7 |
| Mid-range · Pull-up32 % of 363 league shots | 4 | 0.64 | 2.6 |
| Mid-range · Pull-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 32 % of 486 | 1 | 0.63 | 0.6 |
| Mid-range · Pull-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 32 % of 486 | 1 | 0.63 | 0.6 |
| Rim · Drive60 % of 914 league shots | 18 | 1.19 | 21.5 |
| Rim · Drive · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 59 % of 1 388 | 4 | 1.19 | 4.7 |
| Rim · Drive · fast break61 % of 270 league shots | 5 | 1.21 | 6.1 |
| Rim · Catch and shootonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 57 % of 234 | 4 | 1.14 | 4.5 |
| Rim · Catch and shoot · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 57 % of 234 | 1 | 1.14 | 1.1 |
| Rim · Catch and shoot · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 57 % of 234 | 3 | 1.14 | 3.4 |
| Rim · Pull-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 59 % of 1 893 | 2 | 1.18 | 2.3 |
| Three · Drive · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 32 % of 2 325 | 1 | 0.96 | 1.0 |
| Three · Catch and shoot33 % of 1 368 league shots | 38 | 0.98 | 37.1 |
| Three · Catch and shoot · second chance27 % of 237 league shots | 11 | 0.80 | 8.8 |
| Three · Catch and shoot · fast break30 % of 218 league shots | 6 | 0.91 | 5.4 |
| Three · Pull-up32 % of 240 league shots | 2 | 0.95 | 1.9 |
| Three · Pull-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 35 % of 322 | 1 | 1.04 | 1.0 |
| Total adds up | 123 | 0.95 | 117.2 |