His shots are worth a little less than the league's, and he makes them for less.
How we counted it
| Expected points: his 37 shots, kind by kind | 35.6 |
|---|---|
| ÷ 37 shots | 0.96 |
| Points from the floor: 2 × 16 + 1 | 33 |
| ÷ 37 shots | 0.89 |
Expected points are measured against league rates through round 18.
| Kind of shot | Shots | Worth | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mid-range · Driveonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 34 % of 246 | 6 | 0.68 | 4.1 |
| Mid-range · Drive · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 34 % of 246 | 2 | 0.68 | 1.4 |
| Mid-range · Post-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 38 % of 1 105 | 2 | 0.76 | 1.5 |
| Mid-range · Post-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 38 % of 1 105 | 1 | 0.76 | 0.8 |
| Mid-range · Pull-up36 % of 359 league shots | 2 | 0.73 | 1.4 |
| Rim · Drive58 % of 818 league shots | 6 | 1.17 | 7.0 |
| Rim · Drive · fast break65 % of 266 league shots | 2 | 1.29 | 2.6 |
| Rim · Post-uponly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 60 % of 211 | 2 | 1.19 | 2.4 |
| Rim · Post-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 60 % of 211 | 2 | 1.19 | 2.4 |
| Rim · Catch and shootonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 59 % of 233 | 1 | 1.18 | 1.2 |
| Three · Driveonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 33 % of 2 223 | 1 | 0.98 | 1.0 |
| Three · Catch and shoot33 % of 1 292 league shots | 6 | 0.98 | 5.9 |
| Three · Catch and shoot · second chance32 % of 220 league shots | 2 | 0.95 | 1.9 |
| Three · Pull-up34 % of 268 league shots | 1 | 1.02 | 1.0 |
| Three · Pull-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 33 % of 368 | 1 | 0.99 | 1.0 |
| Total adds up | 37 | 0.96 | 35.6 |