His shots are worth a little less than the league's, and he makes them for more.
How we counted it
| Expected points: his 125 shots, kind by kind | 115.4 |
|---|---|
| ÷ 125 shots | 0.92 |
| Points from the floor: 2 × 53 + 15 | 121 |
| ÷ 125 shots | 0.97 |
Expected points are measured against league rates through round 18.
| Kind of shot | Shots | Worth | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mid-range · Drive40 % of 227 league shots | 6 | 0.79 | 4.7 |
| Mid-range · Drive · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 37 % of 317 | 1 | 0.74 | 0.7 |
| Mid-range · Drive · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 37 % of 317 | 2 | 0.74 | 1.5 |
| Mid-range · Post-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 37 % of 1 353 | 2 | 0.74 | 1.5 |
| Mid-range · Post-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 37 % of 1 353 | 2 | 0.74 | 1.5 |
| Mid-range · Catch and shoot37 % of 234 league shots | 12 | 0.74 | 8.8 |
| Mid-range · Catch and shoot · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 36 % of 308 | 2 | 0.71 | 1.4 |
| Mid-range · Pull-up38 % of 404 league shots | 9 | 0.75 | 6.8 |
| Mid-range · Pull-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 37 % of 567 | 2 | 0.73 | 1.5 |
| Mid-range · Pull-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 37 % of 567 | 7 | 0.73 | 5.1 |
| Rim · Drive59 % of 809 league shots | 20 | 1.17 | 23.5 |
| Rim · Drive · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 60 % of 1 187 | 4 | 1.20 | 4.8 |
| Rim · Drive · fast break70 % of 217 league shots | 3 | 1.40 | 4.2 |
| Rim · Post-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 59 % of 1 564 | 1 | 1.18 | 1.2 |
| Rim · Pull-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 59 % of 1 564 | 1 | 1.18 | 1.2 |
| Rim · Pull-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 59 % of 1 564 | 1 | 1.18 | 1.2 |
| Three · Driveonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 31 % of 2 242 | 6 | 0.92 | 5.5 |
| Three · Drive · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 31 % of 2 242 | 1 | 0.92 | 0.9 |
| Three · Drive · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 31 % of 2 242 | 1 | 0.92 | 0.9 |
| Three · Catch and shoot30 % of 1 343 league shots | 20 | 0.90 | 18.1 |
| Three · Catch and shoot · second chance31 % of 216 league shots | 4 | 0.94 | 3.8 |
| Three · Catch and shoot · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 30 % of 1 745 | 3 | 0.91 | 2.7 |
| Three · Pull-up31 % of 290 league shots | 11 | 0.93 | 10.2 |
| Three · Pull-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 31 % of 383 | 4 | 0.92 | 3.7 |
| Total adds up | 125 | 0.92 | 115.4 |