His shots are worth a little less than the league's, and he makes them for more.
How we counted it
| Expected points: his 130 shots, kind by kind | 129.2 |
|---|---|
| ÷ 130 shots | 0.99 |
| Points from the floor: 2 × 57 + 25 | 139 |
| ÷ 130 shots | 1.07 |
Expected points are measured against league rates through round 22.
| Kind of shot | Shots | Worth | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mid-range · Drive36 % of 276 league shots | 5 | 0.72 | 3.6 |
| Mid-range · Drive · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 39 % of 388 | 1 | 0.78 | 0.8 |
| Mid-range · Post-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 37 % of 1 550 | 3 | 0.74 | 2.2 |
| Mid-range · Post-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 37 % of 1 550 | 1 | 0.74 | 0.8 |
| Mid-range · Catch and shoot40 % of 251 league shots | 7 | 0.80 | 5.6 |
| Mid-range · Catch and shoot · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 39 % of 324 | 2 | 0.77 | 1.5 |
| Mid-range · Catch and shoot · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 39 % of 324 | 1 | 0.77 | 0.8 |
| Mid-range · Pull-up36 % of 504 league shots | 10 | 0.72 | 7.2 |
| Mid-range · Pull-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 37 % of 656 | 2 | 0.73 | 1.5 |
| Rim · Drive60 % of 1 115 league shots | 14 | 1.19 | 16.7 |
| Rim · Drive · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 61 % of 1 722 | 5 | 1.23 | 6.2 |
| Rim · Drive · fast break68 % of 353 league shots | 5 | 1.37 | 6.8 |
| Rim · Post-up63 % of 202 league shots | 5 | 1.26 | 6.3 |
| Rim · Catch and shootonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 60 % of 290 | 3 | 1.20 | 3.6 |
| Rim · Catch and shoot · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 60 % of 290 | 1 | 1.20 | 1.2 |
| Rim · Pull-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 61 % of 2 396 | 1 | 1.22 | 1.2 |
| Rim · Pull-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 61 % of 2 396 | 1 | 1.22 | 1.2 |
| Three · Driveonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 33 % of 3 030 | 5 | 0.98 | 4.9 |
| Three · Drive · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 33 % of 3 030 | 1 | 0.98 | 1.0 |
| Three · Catch and shoot33 % of 1 749 league shots | 37 | 0.99 | 36.5 |
| Three · Catch and shoot · second chance32 % of 257 league shots | 4 | 0.96 | 3.8 |
| Three · Catch and shoot · fast break35 % of 271 league shots | 7 | 1.04 | 7.3 |
| Three · Pull-up32 % of 392 league shots | 3 | 0.96 | 2.9 |
| Three · Pull-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 31 % of 515 | 2 | 0.94 | 1.9 |
| Three · Pull-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 31 % of 515 | 3 | 0.94 | 2.8 |
| Three · Pull-up · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 31 % of 515 | 1 | 0.94 | 0.9 |
| Total adds up | 130 | 0.99 | 129.2 |