His shots are worth a little less than the league's, and he makes them for less.
How we counted it
| Expected points: his 38 shots, kind by kind | 37.5 |
|---|---|
| ÷ 38 shots | 0.99 |
| Points from the floor: 2 × 16 + 5 | 37 |
| ÷ 38 shots | 0.97 |
Expected points are measured against league rates through round 18.
| Kind of shot | Shots | Worth | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mid-range · Drive37 % of 216 league shots | 3 | 0.74 | 2.2 |
| Mid-range · Post-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 38 % of 1 258 | 1 | 0.76 | 0.8 |
| Mid-range · Post-up · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 38 % of 1 258 | 1 | 0.76 | 0.8 |
| Mid-range · Catch and shoot38 % of 203 league shots | 1 | 0.76 | 0.8 |
| Mid-range · Pull-up41 % of 373 league shots | 4 | 0.83 | 3.3 |
| Mid-range · Pull-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 39 % of 498 | 2 | 0.79 | 1.6 |
| Rim · Drive58 % of 819 league shots | 3 | 1.17 | 3.5 |
| Rim · Drive · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 61 % of 1 251 | 1 | 1.21 | 1.2 |
| Rim · Drive · fast break64 % of 249 league shots | 1 | 1.28 | 1.3 |
| Rim · Post-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 61 % of 1 765 | 3 | 1.23 | 3.7 |
| Rim · Post-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 61 % of 1 765 | 1 | 1.23 | 1.2 |
| Rim · Post-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 61 % of 1 765 | 1 | 1.23 | 1.2 |
| Rim · Pull-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 61 % of 1 765 | 1 | 1.23 | 1.2 |
| Three · Catch and shoot35 % of 1 291 league shots | 7 | 1.05 | 7.3 |
| Three · Catch and shoot · second chance28 % of 207 league shots | 2 | 0.84 | 1.7 |
| Three · Catch and shoot · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 34 % of 1 728 | 2 | 1.01 | 2.0 |
| Three · Pull-up31 % of 254 league shots | 3 | 0.94 | 2.8 |
| Three · Pull-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 32 % of 345 | 1 | 0.95 | 0.9 |
| Total adds up | 38 | 0.99 | 37.5 |