His shots are worth a little less than the league's, and he makes them for less.
How we counted it
| Expected points: his 22 shots, kind by kind | 21.9 |
|---|---|
| ÷ 22 shots | 1.00 |
| Points from the floor: 2 × 7 + 1 | 15 |
| ÷ 22 shots | 0.68 |
Expected points are measured against league rates through round 19.
| Kind of shot | Shots | Worth | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mid-range · Drive · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 44 % of 297 | 1 | 0.89 | 0.9 |
| Mid-range · Post-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 41 % of 1 250 | 4 | 0.82 | 3.3 |
| Mid-range · Post-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 41 % of 1 250 | 1 | 0.82 | 0.8 |
| Mid-range · Pull-up37 % of 380 league shots | 1 | 0.75 | 0.7 |
| Mid-range · Pull-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 38 % of 527 | 2 | 0.76 | 1.5 |
| Rim · Drive63 % of 898 league shots | 2 | 1.26 | 2.5 |
| Rim · Drive · fast break66 % of 354 league shots | 2 | 1.31 | 2.6 |
| Rim · Post-up62 % of 247 league shots | 2 | 1.24 | 2.5 |
| Rim · Catch and shoot · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 65 % of 387 | 1 | 1.30 | 1.3 |
| Rim · Pull-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 63 % of 2 283 | 1 | 1.27 | 1.3 |
| Three · Catch and shoot34 % of 1 335 league shots | 1 | 1.03 | 1.0 |
| Three · Pull-up28 % of 327 league shots | 3 | 0.85 | 2.6 |
| Three · Pull-up · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 30 % of 456 | 1 | 0.90 | 0.9 |
| Total adds up | 22 | 1.00 | 21.9 |