His shots are worth a little less than the league's, and he makes them for less.
How we counted it
| Expected points: his 163 shots, kind by kind | 157.0 |
|---|---|
| ÷ 163 shots | 0.96 |
| Points from the floor: 2 × 67 + 19 | 153 |
| ÷ 163 shots | 0.94 |
Expected points are measured against league rates through round 18.
| Kind of shot | Shots | Worth | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mid-range · Drive40 % of 206 league shots | 5 | 0.80 | 4.0 |
| Mid-range · Drive · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 36 % of 307 | 3 | 0.73 | 2.2 |
| Mid-range · Drive · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 36 % of 307 | 1 | 0.73 | 0.7 |
| Mid-range · Post-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 36 % of 1 202 | 4 | 0.72 | 2.9 |
| Mid-range · Post-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 36 % of 1 202 | 1 | 0.72 | 0.7 |
| Mid-range · Post-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 36 % of 1 202 | 2 | 0.72 | 1.4 |
| Mid-range · Catch and shootonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 34 % of 265 | 11 | 0.67 | 7.4 |
| Mid-range · Catch and shoot · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 34 % of 265 | 2 | 0.67 | 1.3 |
| Mid-range · Pull-up38 % of 361 league shots | 8 | 0.76 | 6.1 |
| Mid-range · Pull-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 38 % of 491 | 2 | 0.75 | 1.5 |
| Mid-range · Pull-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 38 % of 491 | 2 | 0.75 | 1.5 |
| Rim · Drive60 % of 847 league shots | 20 | 1.19 | 23.9 |
| Rim · Drive · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 61 % of 1 258 | 4 | 1.22 | 4.9 |
| Rim · Drive · fast break63 % of 243 league shots | 3 | 1.27 | 3.8 |
| Rim · Drive · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 61 % of 1 258 | 2 | 1.22 | 2.4 |
| Rim · Post-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 60 % of 1 767 | 5 | 1.21 | 6.0 |
| Rim · Post-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 60 % of 1 767 | 1 | 1.21 | 1.2 |
| Rim · Catch and shootonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 57 % of 218 | 7 | 1.15 | 8.0 |
| Rim · Catch and shoot · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 57 % of 218 | 1 | 1.15 | 1.2 |
| Rim · Catch and shoot · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 57 % of 218 | 3 | 1.15 | 3.4 |
| Rim · Pull-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 60 % of 1 767 | 2 | 1.21 | 2.4 |
| Rim · Pull-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 60 % of 1 767 | 2 | 1.21 | 2.4 |
| Three · Driveonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 32 % of 2 146 | 3 | 0.95 | 2.9 |
| Three · Drive · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 32 % of 2 146 | 2 | 0.95 | 1.9 |
| Three · Drive · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 32 % of 2 146 | 2 | 0.95 | 1.9 |
| Three · Drive · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 32 % of 2 146 | 1 | 0.95 | 1.0 |
| Three · Catch and shoot31 % of 1 255 league shots | 42 | 0.93 | 39.0 |
| Three · Catch and shoot · second chance33 % of 230 league shots | 12 | 0.98 | 11.7 |
| Three · Catch and shoot · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 32 % of 1 693 | 4 | 0.97 | 3.9 |
| Three · Pull-up30 % of 259 league shots | 4 | 0.89 | 3.6 |
| Three · Pull-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 30 % of 336 | 1 | 0.89 | 0.9 |
| Three · Pull-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 30 % of 336 | 1 | 0.89 | 0.9 |
| Total adds up | 163 | 0.96 | 157.0 |