His shots are worth a little less than the league's, and he makes them for less.
How we counted it
| Expected points: his 46 shots, kind by kind | 45.3 |
|---|---|
| ÷ 46 shots | 0.99 |
| Points from the floor: 2 × 16 + 7 | 39 |
| ÷ 46 shots | 0.85 |
Expected points are measured against league rates through round 13.
| Kind of shot | Shots | Worth | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mid-range · Drive · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 34 % of 315 | 1 | 0.67 | 0.7 |
| Mid-range · Post-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 36 % of 1 251 | 2 | 0.71 | 1.4 |
| Mid-range · Catch and shootonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 43 % of 258 | 1 | 0.86 | 0.9 |
| Mid-range · Catch and shoot · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 43 % of 258 | 1 | 0.86 | 0.9 |
| Mid-range · Pull-up36 % of 391 league shots | 3 | 0.72 | 2.1 |
| Mid-range · Pull-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 34 % of 524 | 1 | 0.69 | 0.7 |
| Rim · Drive60 % of 819 league shots | 5 | 1.19 | 5.9 |
| Rim · Drive · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 60 % of 1 290 | 4 | 1.20 | 4.8 |
| Rim · Drive · fast break60 % of 267 league shots | 1 | 1.20 | 1.2 |
| Rim · Pull-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 61 % of 1 850 | 1 | 1.21 | 1.2 |
| Three · Driveonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 33 % of 2 216 | 2 | 0.98 | 2.0 |
| Three · Catch and shoot33 % of 1 218 league shots | 15 | 0.98 | 14.6 |
| Three · Catch and shoot · second chance34 % of 202 league shots | 2 | 1.02 | 2.0 |
| Three · Catch and shoot · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 32 % of 1 645 | 1 | 0.97 | 1.0 |
| Three · Pull-up32 % of 307 league shots | 3 | 0.97 | 2.9 |
| Three · Pull-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 33 % of 407 | 1 | 1.00 | 1.0 |
| Three · Pull-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 33 % of 407 | 2 | 1.00 | 2.0 |
| Total adds up | 46 | 0.99 | 45.3 |