His shots are worth a little less than the league's, and he makes them for less.
How we counted it
| Expected points: his 68 shots, kind by kind | 64.2 |
|---|---|
| ÷ 68 shots | 0.94 |
| Points from the floor: 2 × 21 + 8 | 50 |
| ÷ 68 shots | 0.74 |
Expected points are measured against league rates through round 13.
| Kind of shot | Shots | Worth | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mid-range · Drive · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 35 % of 326 | 1 | 0.71 | 0.7 |
| Mid-range · Post-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 33 % of 1 211 | 2 | 0.67 | 1.3 |
| Mid-range · Catch and shootonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 34 % of 270 | 6 | 0.67 | 4.0 |
| Mid-range · Catch and shoot · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 34 % of 270 | 1 | 0.67 | 0.7 |
| Mid-range · Catch and shoot · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 34 % of 270 | 1 | 0.67 | 0.7 |
| Mid-range · Pull-up32 % of 363 league shots | 2 | 0.64 | 1.3 |
| Mid-range · Pull-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 32 % of 486 | 2 | 0.63 | 1.3 |
| Rim · Drive60 % of 914 league shots | 8 | 1.19 | 9.5 |
| Rim · Drive · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 59 % of 1 388 | 1 | 1.19 | 1.2 |
| Rim · Drive · fast break61 % of 270 league shots | 4 | 1.21 | 4.9 |
| Rim · Post-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 59 % of 1 893 | 2 | 1.18 | 2.4 |
| Rim · Post-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 59 % of 1 893 | 1 | 1.18 | 1.2 |
| Rim · Catch and shootonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 57 % of 234 | 1 | 1.14 | 1.1 |
| Rim · Catch and shoot · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 57 % of 234 | 1 | 1.14 | 1.1 |
| Three · Catch and shoot33 % of 1 368 league shots | 25 | 0.98 | 24.4 |
| Three · Catch and shoot · second chance27 % of 237 league shots | 7 | 0.80 | 5.6 |
| Three · Catch and shoot · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 32 % of 1 865 | 1 | 0.95 | 0.9 |
| Three · Pull-up32 % of 240 league shots | 2 | 0.95 | 1.9 |
| Total adds up | 68 | 0.94 | 64.2 |