His shots are worth a little less than the league's, and he makes them for less.
How we counted it
| Expected points: his 49 shots, kind by kind | 52.4 |
|---|---|
| ÷ 49 shots | 1.07 |
| Points from the floor: 2 × 18 + 6 | 42 |
| ÷ 49 shots | 0.86 |
Expected points are measured against league rates through round 15.
| Kind of shot | Shots | Worth | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mid-range · Drive · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 40 % of 292 | 2 | 0.81 | 1.6 |
| Mid-range · Post-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 40 % of 1 424 | 5 | 0.80 | 4.0 |
| Mid-range · Post-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 40 % of 1 424 | 1 | 0.80 | 0.8 |
| Mid-range · Post-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 40 % of 1 424 | 1 | 0.80 | 0.8 |
| Mid-range · Catch and shoot40 % of 224 league shots | 1 | 0.80 | 0.8 |
| Mid-range · Catch and shoot · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 39 % of 312 | 1 | 0.78 | 0.8 |
| Mid-range · Pull-up39 % of 454 league shots | 4 | 0.78 | 3.1 |
| Rim · Drive64 % of 1 081 league shots | 3 | 1.27 | 3.8 |
| Rim · Drive · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 63 % of 1 672 | 3 | 1.26 | 3.8 |
| Rim · Drive · fast break65 % of 380 league shots | 1 | 1.30 | 1.3 |
| Rim · Post-up66 % of 259 league shots | 2 | 1.33 | 2.7 |
| Rim · Post-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 65 % of 340 | 2 | 1.30 | 2.6 |
| Rim · Catch and shoot63 % of 246 league shots | 1 | 1.25 | 1.3 |
| Rim · Catch and shoot · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 66 % of 404 | 2 | 1.32 | 2.6 |
| Rim · Pull-uponly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 66 % of 208 | 1 | 1.32 | 1.3 |
| Three · Catch and shoot36 % of 1 580 league shots | 12 | 1.09 | 13.1 |
| Three · Catch and shoot · second chance37 % of 259 league shots | 4 | 1.11 | 4.4 |
| Three · Catch and shoot · fast break40 % of 326 league shots | 2 | 1.19 | 2.4 |
| Three · Pull-up39 % of 357 league shots | 1 | 1.18 | 1.2 |
| Total adds up | 49 | 1.07 | 52.4 |