His shots are worth a little more than the league's, and he makes them for less.
How we counted it
| Expected points: his 38 shots, kind by kind | 37.3 |
|---|---|
| ÷ 38 shots | 0.98 |
| Points from the floor: 2 × 13 + 4 | 30 |
| ÷ 38 shots | 0.79 |
Expected points are measured against league rates through round 11.
| Kind of shot | Shots | Worth | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mid-range · Driveonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 38 % of 712 | 1 | 0.75 | 0.8 |
| Mid-range · Drive · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 38 % of 712 | 1 | 0.75 | 0.8 |
| Mid-range · Catch and shootonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 38 % of 712 | 2 | 0.75 | 1.5 |
| Mid-range · Catch and shoot · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 38 % of 712 | 1 | 0.75 | 0.8 |
| Rim · Drive54 % of 495 league shots | 6 | 1.07 | 6.4 |
| Rim · Drive · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 56 % of 738 | 3 | 1.12 | 3.4 |
| Rim · Drive · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 56 % of 738 | 2 | 1.12 | 2.2 |
| Rim · Drive · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 56 % of 738 | 1 | 1.12 | 1.1 |
| Rim · Catch and shootonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 57 % of 973 | 1 | 1.14 | 1.1 |
| Rim · Pull-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 57 % of 973 | 1 | 1.14 | 1.1 |
| Three · Driveonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 31 % of 1 273 | 1 | 0.94 | 0.9 |
| Three · Catch and shoot32 % of 781 league shots | 10 | 0.97 | 9.7 |
| Three · Catch and shoot · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 31 % of 1 032 | 2 | 0.94 | 1.9 |
| Three · Catch and shoot · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 31 % of 1 032 | 1 | 0.94 | 0.9 |
| Three · Pull-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 31 % of 1 273 | 5 | 0.94 | 4.7 |
| Total adds up | 38 | 0.98 | 37.3 |