His shots are worth a little less than the league's, and he makes them for more.
How we counted it
| Expected points: his 157 shots, kind by kind | 154.9 |
|---|---|
| ÷ 157 shots | 0.99 |
| Points from the floor: 2 × 65 + 28 | 158 |
| ÷ 157 shots | 1.01 |
Expected points are measured against league rates through round 22.
| Kind of shot | Shots | Worth | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mid-range · Drive40 % of 275 league shots | 7 | 0.79 | 5.6 |
| Mid-range · Drive · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 41 % of 380 | 1 | 0.83 | 0.8 |
| Mid-range · Drive · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 41 % of 380 | 1 | 0.83 | 0.8 |
| Mid-range · Post-uponly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 37 % of 219 | 1 | 0.74 | 0.7 |
| Mid-range · Catch and shoot36 % of 245 league shots | 8 | 0.72 | 5.8 |
| Mid-range · Catch and shoot · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 37 % of 343 | 2 | 0.73 | 1.5 |
| Mid-range · Pull-up40 % of 478 league shots | 22 | 0.79 | 17.4 |
| Mid-range · Pull-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 40 % of 644 | 1 | 0.79 | 0.8 |
| Mid-range · Pull-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 40 % of 644 | 1 | 0.79 | 0.8 |
| Rim · Drive61 % of 1 158 league shots | 18 | 1.22 | 21.9 |
| Rim · Drive · fast break61 % of 357 league shots | 7 | 1.21 | 8.5 |
| Rim · Post-uponly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 60 % of 237 | 3 | 1.21 | 3.6 |
| Rim · Catch and shootonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 66 % of 309 | 4 | 1.31 | 5.3 |
| Rim · Catch and shoot · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 66 % of 309 | 1 | 1.31 | 1.3 |
| Rim · Catch and shoot · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 66 % of 309 | 1 | 1.31 | 1.3 |
| Rim · Pull-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 61 % of 2 399 | 1 | 1.23 | 1.2 |
| Three · Driveonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 34 % of 3 003 | 1 | 1.02 | 1.0 |
| Three · Drive · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 34 % of 3 003 | 2 | 1.02 | 2.0 |
| Three · Catch and shoot35 % of 1 797 league shots | 47 | 1.04 | 48.9 |
| Three · Catch and shoot · second chance30 % of 272 league shots | 13 | 0.90 | 11.8 |
| Three · Catch and shoot · fast break34 % of 294 league shots | 6 | 1.01 | 6.1 |
| Three · Catch and shoot · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 34 % of 2 404 | 1 | 1.03 | 1.0 |
| Three · Pull-up28 % of 309 league shots | 8 | 0.85 | 6.8 |
| Total adds up | 157 | 0.99 | 154.9 |