His shots are worth a little less than the league's, and he makes them for less.
How we counted it
| Expected points: his 82 shots, kind by kind | 81.5 |
|---|---|
| ÷ 82 shots | 0.99 |
| Points from the floor: 2 × 35 + 11 | 81 |
| ÷ 82 shots | 0.99 |
Expected points are measured against league rates through round 18.
| Kind of shot | Shots | Worth | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mid-range · Post-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 40 % of 918 | 3 | 0.79 | 2.4 |
| Mid-range · Post-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 40 % of 918 | 1 | 0.79 | 0.8 |
| Mid-range · Catch and shootonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 40 % of 918 | 8 | 0.79 | 6.3 |
| Mid-range · Catch and shoot · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 40 % of 918 | 1 | 0.79 | 0.8 |
| Mid-range · Catch and shoot · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 40 % of 918 | 1 | 0.79 | 0.8 |
| Mid-range · Pull-up44 % of 326 league shots | 5 | 0.88 | 4.4 |
| Mid-range · Pull-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 43 % of 440 | 1 | 0.86 | 0.9 |
| Mid-range · Pull-up · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 43 % of 440 | 1 | 0.86 | 0.9 |
| Rim · Drive63 % of 701 league shots | 14 | 1.25 | 17.5 |
| Rim · Drive · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 61 % of 1 046 | 2 | 1.21 | 2.4 |
| Rim · Drive · fast break57 % of 218 league shots | 2 | 1.15 | 2.3 |
| Rim · Post-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 62 % of 1 397 | 1 | 1.24 | 1.2 |
| Rim · Catch and shootonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 62 % of 1 397 | 4 | 1.24 | 4.9 |
| Three · Driveonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 32 % of 1 744 | 5 | 0.96 | 4.8 |
| Three · Catch and shoot32 % of 1 007 league shots | 22 | 0.95 | 20.9 |
| Three · Catch and shoot · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 32 % of 1 319 | 4 | 0.96 | 3.8 |
| Three · Catch and shoot · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 32 % of 1 319 | 1 | 0.96 | 1.0 |
| Three · Pull-up30 % of 212 league shots | 5 | 0.89 | 4.5 |
| Three · Pull-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 30 % of 292 | 1 | 0.91 | 0.9 |
| Total adds up | 82 | 0.99 | 81.5 |