His shots are worth a little more than the league's, and he makes them for less.
How we counted it
| Expected points: his 106 shots, kind by kind | 110.1 |
|---|---|
| ÷ 106 shots | 1.04 |
| Points from the floor: 2 × 38 + 31 | 107 |
| ÷ 106 shots | 1.01 |
Expected points are measured against league rates through round 22.
| Kind of shot | Shots | Worth | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mid-range · Drive · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 35 % of 373 | 1 | 0.70 | 0.7 |
| Mid-range · Post-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 35 % of 1 518 | 1 | 0.70 | 0.7 |
| Mid-range · Pull-up34 % of 504 league shots | 4 | 0.69 | 2.7 |
| Mid-range · Pull-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 34 % of 650 | 3 | 0.68 | 2.0 |
| Rim · Drive61 % of 1 193 league shots | 8 | 1.22 | 9.8 |
| Rim · Drive · second chance59 % of 200 league shots | 2 | 1.18 | 2.4 |
| Rim · Drive · fast break67 % of 367 league shots | 1 | 1.34 | 1.3 |
| Rim · Catch and shootonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 60 % of 272 | 3 | 1.20 | 3.6 |
| Rim · Catch and shoot · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 60 % of 272 | 2 | 1.20 | 2.4 |
| Rim · Pull-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 62 % of 2 473 | 1 | 1.23 | 1.2 |
| Rim · Pull-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 62 % of 2 473 | 1 | 1.23 | 1.2 |
| Three · Driveonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 35 % of 3 029 | 3 | 1.05 | 3.2 |
| Three · Drive · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 35 % of 3 029 | 1 | 1.05 | 1.0 |
| Three · Drive · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 35 % of 3 029 | 2 | 1.05 | 2.1 |
| Three · Catch and shoot35 % of 1 811 league shots | 45 | 1.04 | 46.6 |
| Three · Catch and shoot · second chance35 % of 307 league shots | 13 | 1.04 | 13.5 |
| Three · Catch and shoot · fast break41 % of 222 league shots | 3 | 1.23 | 3.7 |
| Three · Pull-up33 % of 350 league shots | 6 | 1.00 | 6.0 |
| Three · Pull-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 33 % of 463 | 2 | 0.99 | 2.0 |
| Three · Pull-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 33 % of 463 | 4 | 0.99 | 4.0 |
| Total adds up | 106 | 1.04 | 110.1 |