His shots are worth a little less than the league's, and he makes them for less.
How we counted it
| Expected points: his 33 shots, kind by kind | 31.8 |
|---|---|
| ÷ 33 shots | 0.96 |
| Points from the floor: 2 × 8 + 4 | 20 |
| ÷ 33 shots | 0.61 |
Expected points are measured against league rates through round 11.
| Kind of shot | Shots | Worth | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mid-range · Driveonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 38 % of 770 | 1 | 0.76 | 0.8 |
| Mid-range · Drive · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 38 % of 770 | 1 | 0.76 | 0.8 |
| Mid-range · Pull-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 36 % of 343 | 2 | 0.72 | 1.5 |
| Mid-range · Pull-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 36 % of 343 | 1 | 0.72 | 0.7 |
| Rim · Drive61 % of 620 league shots | 3 | 1.21 | 3.6 |
| Rim · Drive · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 60 % of 942 | 1 | 1.20 | 1.2 |
| Rim · Drive · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 60 % of 942 | 2 | 1.20 | 2.4 |
| Rim · Pull-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 61 % of 1 305 | 1 | 1.21 | 1.2 |
| Three · Drive · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 30 % of 1 447 | 2 | 0.91 | 1.8 |
| Three · Catch and shoot32 % of 839 league shots | 10 | 0.95 | 9.5 |
| Three · Catch and shoot · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 31 % of 1 115 | 2 | 0.94 | 1.9 |
| Three · Catch and shoot · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 31 % of 1 115 | 5 | 0.94 | 4.7 |
| Three · Catch and shoot · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 31 % of 1 115 | 1 | 0.94 | 0.9 |
| Three · Pull-uponly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 26 % of 234 | 1 | 0.78 | 0.8 |
| Total adds up | 33 | 0.96 | 31.8 |