His shots are worth a little less than the league's, and he makes them for more.
How we counted it
| Expected points: his 65 shots, kind by kind | 63.8 |
|---|---|
| ÷ 65 shots | 0.98 |
| Points from the floor: 2 × 28 + 11 | 67 |
| ÷ 65 shots | 1.03 |
Expected points are measured against league rates through round 13.
| Kind of shot | Shots | Worth | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mid-range · Driveonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 32 % of 268 | 3 | 0.63 | 1.9 |
| Mid-range · Drive · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 32 % of 268 | 2 | 0.63 | 1.3 |
| Mid-range · Post-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 37 % of 1 050 | 2 | 0.74 | 1.5 |
| Mid-range · Catch and shootonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 38 % of 232 | 3 | 0.76 | 2.3 |
| Mid-range · Catch and shoot · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 38 % of 232 | 1 | 0.76 | 0.8 |
| Mid-range · Pull-up40 % of 328 league shots | 6 | 0.80 | 4.8 |
| Rim · Drive61 % of 699 league shots | 8 | 1.22 | 9.7 |
| Rim · Drive · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 60 % of 1 082 | 1 | 1.21 | 1.2 |
| Rim · Drive · fast break58 % of 233 league shots | 2 | 1.16 | 2.3 |
| Rim · Drive · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 60 % of 1 082 | 1 | 1.21 | 1.2 |
| Rim · Catch and shoot · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 60 % of 1 520 | 1 | 1.19 | 1.2 |
| Rim · Pull-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 60 % of 1 520 | 2 | 1.19 | 2.4 |
| Rim · Pull-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 60 % of 1 520 | 1 | 1.19 | 1.2 |
| Rim · Pull-up · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 60 % of 1 520 | 1 | 1.19 | 1.2 |
| Three · Driveonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 34 % of 2 046 | 1 | 1.01 | 1.0 |
| Three · Drive · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 34 % of 2 046 | 2 | 1.01 | 2.0 |
| Three · Catch and shoot34 % of 1 196 league shots | 17 | 1.02 | 17.3 |
| Three · Catch and shoot · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 34 % of 1 593 | 1 | 1.03 | 1.0 |
| Three · Catch and shoot · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 34 % of 1 593 | 2 | 1.03 | 2.1 |
| Three · Pull-up31 % of 236 league shots | 6 | 0.94 | 5.6 |
| Three · Pull-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 30 % of 314 | 1 | 0.90 | 0.9 |
| Three · Pull-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 30 % of 314 | 1 | 0.90 | 0.9 |
| Total adds up | 65 | 0.98 | 63.8 |