His shots are worth a little more than the league's, and he makes them for less.
How we counted it
| Expected points: his 30 shots, kind by kind | 31.0 |
|---|---|
| ÷ 30 shots | 1.03 |
| Points from the floor: 2 × 12 + 1 | 25 |
| ÷ 30 shots | 0.83 |
Expected points are measured against league rates through round 18.
| Kind of shot | Shots | Worth | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mid-range · Drive40 % of 227 league shots | 1 | 0.79 | 0.8 |
| Mid-range · Pull-up38 % of 404 league shots | 2 | 0.75 | 1.5 |
| Mid-range · Pull-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 37 % of 567 | 1 | 0.73 | 0.8 |
| Mid-range · Pull-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 37 % of 567 | 1 | 0.73 | 0.7 |
| Rim · Drive59 % of 809 league shots | 8 | 1.17 | 9.4 |
| Rim · Drive · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 60 % of 1 187 | 1 | 1.20 | 1.2 |
| Rim · Drive · fast break70 % of 217 league shots | 3 | 1.40 | 4.2 |
| Rim · Drive · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 60 % of 1 187 | 1 | 1.20 | 1.2 |
| Rim · Post-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 59 % of 1 564 | 1 | 1.18 | 1.2 |
| Three · Catch and shoot30 % of 1 343 league shots | 6 | 0.90 | 5.4 |
| Three · Catch and shoot · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 30 % of 1 745 | 1 | 0.91 | 0.9 |
| Three · Pull-up31 % of 290 league shots | 3 | 0.93 | 2.8 |
| Three · Pull-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 31 % of 383 | 1 | 0.92 | 0.9 |
| Total adds up | 30 | 1.03 | 31.0 |