His shots are worth a little more than the league's, and he makes them for less.
How we counted it
| Expected points: his 38 shots, kind by kind | 37.3 |
|---|---|
| ÷ 38 shots | 0.98 |
| Points from the floor: 2 × 14 + 3 | 31 |
| ÷ 38 shots | 0.82 |
Expected points are measured against league rates through round 12.
| Kind of shot | Shots | Worth | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mid-range · Drive · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 35 % of 266 | 1 | 0.69 | 0.7 |
| Mid-range · Drive · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 35 % of 266 | 1 | 0.69 | 0.7 |
| Mid-range · Post-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 36 % of 1 088 | 2 | 0.71 | 1.4 |
| Mid-range · Catch and shootonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 36 % of 248 | 1 | 0.72 | 0.7 |
| Mid-range · Pull-up37 % of 348 league shots | 3 | 0.75 | 2.2 |
| Rim · Drive54 % of 702 league shots | 3 | 1.09 | 3.3 |
| Rim · Drive · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 56 % of 1 053 | 2 | 1.11 | 2.2 |
| Rim · Drive · fast break61 % of 202 league shots | 2 | 1.22 | 2.4 |
| Rim · Post-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 56 % of 1 384 | 1 | 1.12 | 1.1 |
| Rim · Post-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 56 % of 1 384 | 2 | 1.12 | 2.3 |
| Rim · Catch and shootonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 56 % of 1 384 | 1 | 1.12 | 1.1 |
| Rim · Catch and shoot · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 56 % of 1 384 | 1 | 1.12 | 1.1 |
| Rim · Pull-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 56 % of 1 384 | 3 | 1.12 | 3.4 |
| Rim · Pull-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 56 % of 1 384 | 2 | 1.12 | 2.3 |
| Three · Catch and shoot32 % of 1 211 league shots | 3 | 0.97 | 2.9 |
| Three · Catch and shoot · second chance30 % of 220 league shots | 1 | 0.89 | 0.9 |
| Three · Catch and shoot · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 32 % of 1 602 | 4 | 0.95 | 3.8 |
| Three · Pull-up32 % of 253 league shots | 4 | 0.96 | 3.8 |
| Three · Pull-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 33 % of 317 | 1 | 0.99 | 1.0 |
| Total adds up | 38 | 0.98 | 37.3 |