His shots are worth a little less than the league's, and he makes them for more.
How we counted it
| Expected points: his 52 shots, kind by kind | 51.6 |
|---|---|
| ÷ 52 shots | 0.99 |
| Points from the floor: 2 × 29 + 21 | 79 |
| ÷ 52 shots | 1.52 |
Expected points are measured against league rates through round 12.
| Kind of shot | Shots | Worth | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mid-range · Driveonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 30 % of 242 | 1 | 0.60 | 0.6 |
| Mid-range · Drive · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 30 % of 242 | 1 | 0.60 | 0.6 |
| Mid-range · Post-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 36 % of 1 041 | 1 | 0.73 | 0.7 |
| Mid-range · Post-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 36 % of 1 041 | 1 | 0.73 | 0.7 |
| Mid-range · Catch and shootonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 36 % of 1 041 | 1 | 0.73 | 0.7 |
| Mid-range · Pull-up38 % of 338 league shots | 1 | 0.76 | 0.8 |
| Rim · Drive61 % of 675 league shots | 2 | 1.22 | 2.4 |
| Rim · Drive · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 62 % of 1 042 | 1 | 1.25 | 1.3 |
| Rim · Drive · fast break68 % of 219 league shots | 4 | 1.35 | 5.4 |
| Rim · Catch and shootonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 63 % of 202 | 1 | 1.27 | 1.3 |
| Three · Driveonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 33 % of 2 012 | 2 | 1.00 | 2.0 |
| Three · Drive · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 33 % of 2 012 | 1 | 1.00 | 1.0 |
| Three · Catch and shoot32 % of 1 133 league shots | 24 | 0.97 | 23.3 |
| Three · Catch and shoot · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 33 % of 1 526 | 4 | 1.00 | 4.0 |
| Three · Catch and shoot · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 33 % of 1 526 | 4 | 1.00 | 4.0 |
| Three · Pull-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 31 % of 356 | 2 | 0.94 | 1.9 |
| Three · Pull-up · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 31 % of 356 | 1 | 0.94 | 0.9 |
| Total adds up | 52 | 0.99 | 51.6 |