His shots are worth a little less than the league's, and he makes them for more.
How we counted it
| Expected points: his 51 shots, kind by kind | 50.5 |
|---|---|
| ÷ 51 shots | 0.99 |
| Points from the floor: 2 × 27 + 10 | 64 |
| ÷ 51 shots | 1.25 |
Expected points are measured against league rates through round 21.
| Kind of shot | Shots | Worth | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mid-range · Drive · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 35 % of 336 | 1 | 0.70 | 0.7 |
| Mid-range · Post-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 38 % of 1 469 | 2 | 0.76 | 1.5 |
| Mid-range · Catch and shoot34 % of 227 league shots | 3 | 0.69 | 2.1 |
| Mid-range · Catch and shoot · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 37 % of 308 | 1 | 0.75 | 0.7 |
| Mid-range · Pull-up40 % of 495 league shots | 6 | 0.80 | 4.8 |
| Mid-range · Pull-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 40 % of 676 | 1 | 0.80 | 0.8 |
| Mid-range · Pull-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 40 % of 676 | 3 | 0.80 | 2.4 |
| Rim · Drive58 % of 1 061 league shots | 6 | 1.16 | 7.0 |
| Rim · Drive · fast break64 % of 305 league shots | 3 | 1.29 | 3.9 |
| Rim · Post-uponly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 57 % of 218 | 1 | 1.15 | 1.2 |
| Rim · Post-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 57 % of 218 | 1 | 1.15 | 1.2 |
| Rim · Post-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 57 % of 218 | 1 | 1.15 | 1.1 |
| Rim · Catch and shootonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 62 % of 215 | 1 | 1.25 | 1.2 |
| Rim · Catch and shoot · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 62 % of 215 | 1 | 1.25 | 1.2 |
| Rim · Catch and shoot · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 62 % of 215 | 1 | 1.25 | 1.2 |
| Three · Driveonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 34 % of 2 658 | 1 | 1.03 | 1.0 |
| Three · Catch and shoot35 % of 1 506 league shots | 11 | 1.04 | 11.5 |
| Three · Catch and shoot · fast break39 % of 215 league shots | 1 | 1.16 | 1.2 |
| Three · Pull-up33 % of 390 league shots | 4 | 0.98 | 3.9 |
| Three · Pull-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 32 % of 500 | 2 | 0.97 | 1.9 |
| Total adds up | 51 | 0.99 | 50.5 |