His shots are worth a little less than the league's, and he makes them for less.
How we counted it
| Expected points: his 93 shots, kind by kind | 95.2 |
|---|---|
| ÷ 93 shots | 1.02 |
| Points from the floor: 2 × 37 + 15 | 89 |
| ÷ 93 shots | 0.96 |
Expected points are measured against league rates through round 17.
| Kind of shot | Shots | Worth | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mid-range · Driveonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 40 % of 894 | 2 | 0.81 | 1.6 |
| Mid-range · Drive · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 40 % of 894 | 1 | 0.81 | 0.8 |
| Mid-range · Catch and shootonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 43 % of 207 | 6 | 0.85 | 5.1 |
| Mid-range · Catch and shoot · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 43 % of 207 | 1 | 0.85 | 0.9 |
| Mid-range · Catch and shoot · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 43 % of 207 | 1 | 0.85 | 0.9 |
| Mid-range · Pull-up39 % of 275 league shots | 7 | 0.79 | 5.5 |
| Mid-range · Pull-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 40 % of 371 | 2 | 0.79 | 1.6 |
| Mid-range · Pull-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 40 % of 371 | 4 | 0.79 | 3.2 |
| Rim · Drive59 % of 612 league shots | 10 | 1.17 | 11.7 |
| Rim · Drive · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 61 % of 989 | 6 | 1.22 | 7.3 |
| Rim · Drive · fast break66 % of 236 league shots | 3 | 1.32 | 4.0 |
| Rim · Post-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 62 % of 1 441 | 1 | 1.24 | 1.2 |
| Rim · Post-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 62 % of 1 441 | 1 | 1.24 | 1.2 |
| Rim · Catch and shootonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 61 % of 205 | 1 | 1.23 | 1.2 |
| Rim · Catch and shoot · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 61 % of 205 | 1 | 1.23 | 1.2 |
| Rim · Pull-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 62 % of 1 441 | 1 | 1.24 | 1.2 |
| Three · Driveonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 34 % of 1 736 | 5 | 1.02 | 5.1 |
| Three · Drive · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 34 % of 1 736 | 1 | 1.02 | 1.0 |
| Three · Catch and shoot35 % of 983 league shots | 25 | 1.04 | 26.0 |
| Three · Catch and shoot · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 35 % of 1 337 | 4 | 1.04 | 4.2 |
| Three · Catch and shoot · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 35 % of 1 337 | 4 | 1.04 | 4.2 |
| Three · Pull-uponly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 34 % of 270 | 4 | 1.01 | 4.1 |
| Three · Pull-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 34 % of 270 | 1 | 1.01 | 1.0 |
| Three · Pull-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 34 % of 270 | 1 | 1.01 | 1.0 |
| Total adds up | 93 | 1.02 | 95.2 |