His shots are worth a little less than the league's, and he makes them for less.
How we counted it
| Expected points: his 34 shots, kind by kind | 36.0 |
|---|---|
| ÷ 34 shots | 1.06 |
| Points from the floor: 2 × 13 + 5 | 31 |
| ÷ 34 shots | 0.91 |
Expected points are measured against league rates through round 15.
| Kind of shot | Shots | Worth | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mid-range · Drive · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 45 % of 325 | 1 | 0.89 | 0.9 |
| Mid-range · Post-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 40 % of 1 409 | 1 | 0.81 | 0.8 |
| Mid-range · Catch and shoot · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 33 % of 295 | 1 | 0.65 | 0.7 |
| Mid-range · Pull-up40 % of 459 league shots | 3 | 0.81 | 2.4 |
| Mid-range · Pull-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 41 % of 624 | 3 | 0.82 | 2.5 |
| Rim · Drive64 % of 929 league shots | 4 | 1.29 | 5.1 |
| Rim · Drive · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 64 % of 1 476 | 3 | 1.29 | 3.9 |
| Rim · Drive · fast break66 % of 350 league shots | 1 | 1.33 | 1.3 |
| Rim · Post-up62 % of 229 league shots | 1 | 1.25 | 1.2 |
| Rim · Catch and shoot61 % of 214 league shots | 1 | 1.22 | 1.2 |
| Rim · Pull-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 63 % of 2 254 | 1 | 1.27 | 1.3 |
| Three · Catch and shoot35 % of 1 427 league shots | 5 | 1.06 | 5.3 |
| Three · Catch and shoot · fast break34 % of 274 league shots | 4 | 1.03 | 4.1 |
| Three · Catch and shoot · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 35 % of 2 012 | 1 | 1.05 | 1.0 |
| Three · Pull-up35 % of 356 league shots | 1 | 1.05 | 1.1 |
| Three · Pull-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 36 % of 473 | 3 | 1.07 | 3.2 |
| Total adds up | 34 | 1.06 | 36.0 |