His shots are worth a little less than the league's, and he makes them for less.
How we counted it
| Expected points: his 117 shots, kind by kind | 109.2 |
|---|---|
| ÷ 117 shots | 0.93 |
| Points from the floor: 2 × 48 + 12 | 108 |
| ÷ 117 shots | 0.92 |
Expected points are measured against league rates through round 18.
| Kind of shot | Shots | Worth | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mid-range · Drive37 % of 228 league shots | 5 | 0.75 | 3.7 |
| Mid-range · Drive · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 37 % of 346 | 1 | 0.75 | 0.8 |
| Mid-range · Post-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 35 % of 1 255 | 1 | 0.70 | 0.7 |
| Mid-range · Catch and shoot33 % of 217 league shots | 9 | 0.66 | 6.0 |
| Mid-range · Catch and shoot · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 33 % of 287 | 1 | 0.66 | 0.7 |
| Mid-range · Pull-up37 % of 378 league shots | 6 | 0.75 | 4.5 |
| Mid-range · Pull-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 37 % of 490 | 1 | 0.73 | 0.7 |
| Mid-range · Pull-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 37 % of 490 | 1 | 0.73 | 0.7 |
| Rim · Drive59 % of 852 league shots | 14 | 1.18 | 16.6 |
| Rim · Drive · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 61 % of 1 290 | 2 | 1.21 | 2.4 |
| Rim · Drive · fast break63 % of 254 league shots | 5 | 1.27 | 6.3 |
| Rim · Drive · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 61 % of 1 290 | 1 | 1.21 | 1.2 |
| Rim · Post-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 60 % of 1 684 | 1 | 1.20 | 1.2 |
| Rim · Post-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 60 % of 1 684 | 3 | 1.20 | 3.6 |
| Rim · Catch and shootonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 60 % of 1 684 | 5 | 1.20 | 6.0 |
| Rim · Catch and shoot · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 60 % of 1 684 | 2 | 1.20 | 2.4 |
| Rim · Catch and shoot · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 60 % of 1 684 | 2 | 1.20 | 2.4 |
| Rim · Pull-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 60 % of 1 684 | 1 | 1.20 | 1.2 |
| Three · Driveonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 28 % of 2 151 | 1 | 0.84 | 0.8 |
| Three · Drive · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 28 % of 2 151 | 1 | 0.84 | 0.8 |
| Three · Catch and shoot28 % of 1 274 league shots | 32 | 0.85 | 27.1 |
| Three · Catch and shoot · second chance29 % of 214 league shots | 12 | 0.88 | 10.6 |
| Three · Catch and shoot · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 28 % of 1 673 | 3 | 0.83 | 2.5 |
| Three · Pull-up30 % of 276 league shots | 7 | 0.90 | 6.3 |
| Total adds up | 117 | 0.93 | 109.2 |