His shots are worth a little less than the league's, and he makes them for less.
How we counted it
| Expected points: his 40 shots, kind by kind | 37.8 |
|---|---|
| ÷ 40 shots | 0.94 |
| Points from the floor: 2 × 15 + 7 | 37 |
| ÷ 40 shots | 0.93 |
Expected points are measured against league rates through round 18.
| Kind of shot | Shots | Worth | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mid-range · Drive · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 34 % of 220 | 1 | 0.68 | 0.7 |
| Mid-range · Drive · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 34 % of 220 | 2 | 0.68 | 1.4 |
| Mid-range · Post-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 35 % of 864 | 2 | 0.71 | 1.4 |
| Mid-range · Catch and shootonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 35 % of 864 | 1 | 0.71 | 0.7 |
| Mid-range · Catch and shoot · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 35 % of 864 | 1 | 0.71 | 0.7 |
| Mid-range · Pull-up34 % of 284 league shots | 5 | 0.68 | 3.4 |
| Mid-range · Pull-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 35 % of 361 | 1 | 0.69 | 0.7 |
| Mid-range · Pull-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 35 % of 361 | 1 | 0.69 | 0.7 |
| Rim · Drive61 % of 694 league shots | 2 | 1.21 | 2.4 |
| Rim · Catch and shoot · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 61 % of 1 447 | 1 | 1.23 | 1.2 |
| Rim · Pull-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 61 % of 1 447 | 1 | 1.23 | 1.2 |
| Three · Driveonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 36 % of 1 771 | 1 | 1.07 | 1.1 |
| Three · Catch and shoot35 % of 1 048 league shots | 10 | 1.05 | 10.5 |
| Three · Catch and shoot · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 36 % of 1 392 | 3 | 1.08 | 3.2 |
| Three · Catch and shoot · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 36 % of 1 392 | 3 | 1.08 | 3.2 |
| Three · Pull-up35 % of 210 league shots | 4 | 1.04 | 4.2 |
| Three · Pull-up · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 35 % of 275 | 1 | 1.04 | 1.1 |
| Total adds up | 40 | 0.94 | 37.8 |