His shots are worth a little less than the league's, and he makes them for more.
How we counted it
| Expected points: his 40 shots, kind by kind | 43.3 |
|---|---|
| ÷ 40 shots | 1.08 |
| Points from the floor: 2 × 21 + 4 | 46 |
| ÷ 40 shots | 1.15 |
Expected points are measured against league rates through round 17.
| Kind of shot | Shots | Worth | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mid-range · Drive46 % of 263 league shots | 1 | 0.92 | 0.9 |
| Mid-range · Post-uponly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 40 % of 248 | 3 | 0.79 | 2.4 |
| Mid-range · Catch and shoot · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 45 % of 317 | 1 | 0.90 | 0.9 |
| Mid-range · Pull-up36 % of 574 league shots | 3 | 0.72 | 2.2 |
| Mid-range · Pull-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 38 % of 754 | 1 | 0.75 | 0.7 |
| Rim · Drive60 % of 1 290 league shots | 9 | 1.21 | 10.9 |
| Rim · Drive · second chance65 % of 200 league shots | 1 | 1.30 | 1.3 |
| Rim · Drive · fast break66 % of 434 league shots | 3 | 1.32 | 4.0 |
| Rim · Post-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 61 % of 347 | 1 | 1.23 | 1.2 |
| Rim · Catch and shoot59 % of 300 league shots | 1 | 1.19 | 1.2 |
| Rim · Catch and shoot · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 64 % of 472 | 1 | 1.28 | 1.3 |
| Rim · Pull-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 62 % of 2 992 | 1 | 1.24 | 1.2 |
| Rim · Pull-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 62 % of 2 992 | 1 | 1.24 | 1.2 |
| Three · Driveonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 40 % of 215 | 1 | 1.19 | 1.2 |
| Three · Catch and shoot38 % of 1 883 league shots | 4 | 1.13 | 4.5 |
| Three · Catch and shoot · second chance40 % of 272 league shots | 2 | 1.20 | 2.4 |
| Three · Catch and shoot · fast break35 % of 331 league shots | 1 | 1.06 | 1.1 |
| Three · Pull-up32 % of 400 league shots | 5 | 0.95 | 4.7 |
| Total adds up | 40 | 1.08 | 43.3 |