His shots are worth a little less than the league's, and he makes them for less.
How we counted it
| Expected points: his 43 shots, kind by kind | 43.5 |
|---|---|
| ÷ 43 shots | 1.01 |
| Points from the floor: 2 × 16 + 6 | 38 |
| ÷ 43 shots | 0.88 |
Expected points are measured against league rates through round 16.
| Kind of shot | Shots | Worth | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mid-range · Driveonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 35 % of 204 | 2 | 0.71 | 1.4 |
| Mid-range · Drive · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 35 % of 204 | 1 | 0.71 | 0.7 |
| Mid-range · Catch and shootonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 38 % of 209 | 3 | 0.76 | 2.3 |
| Mid-range · Catch and shoot · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 38 % of 209 | 1 | 0.76 | 0.8 |
| Mid-range · Catch and shoot · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 38 % of 209 | 1 | 0.76 | 0.8 |
| Mid-range · Pull-up43 % of 267 league shots | 3 | 0.85 | 2.6 |
| Rim · Drive60 % of 579 league shots | 6 | 1.20 | 7.2 |
| Rim · Drive · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 61 % of 878 | 1 | 1.22 | 1.2 |
| Rim · Drive · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 61 % of 878 | 1 | 1.22 | 1.2 |
| Rim · Catch and shoot · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 62 % of 1 242 | 2 | 1.24 | 2.5 |
| Three · Drive · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 34 % of 1 562 | 1 | 1.03 | 1.0 |
| Three · Catch and shoot36 % of 910 league shots | 12 | 1.07 | 12.9 |
| Three · Catch and shoot · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 34 % of 1 225 | 4 | 1.02 | 4.1 |
| Three · Catch and shoot · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 34 % of 1 225 | 1 | 1.02 | 1.0 |
| Three · Pull-uponly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 32 % of 248 | 3 | 0.96 | 2.9 |
| Three · Pull-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 32 % of 248 | 1 | 0.96 | 0.9 |
| Total adds up | 43 | 1.01 | 43.5 |