His shots are worth a little less than the league's, and he makes them for less.
How we counted it
| Expected points: his 54 shots, kind by kind | 51.4 |
|---|---|
| ÷ 54 shots | 0.95 |
| Points from the floor: 2 × 19 + 8 | 46 |
| ÷ 54 shots | 0.85 |
Expected points are measured against league rates through round 17.
| Kind of shot | Shots | Worth | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mid-range · Driveonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 38 % of 882 | 4 | 0.77 | 3.1 |
| Mid-range · Post-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 38 % of 882 | 2 | 0.77 | 1.5 |
| Mid-range · Post-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 38 % of 882 | 1 | 0.77 | 0.8 |
| Mid-range · Catch and shootonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 43 % of 210 | 4 | 0.86 | 3.4 |
| Mid-range · Pull-up38 % of 277 league shots | 6 | 0.76 | 4.5 |
| Mid-range · Pull-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 38 % of 360 | 1 | 0.76 | 0.8 |
| Mid-range · Pull-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 38 % of 360 | 1 | 0.76 | 0.8 |
| Rim · Drive59 % of 669 league shots | 3 | 1.18 | 3.5 |
| Rim · Post-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 61 % of 1 477 | 3 | 1.22 | 3.7 |
| Rim · Catch and shootonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 61 % of 1 477 | 2 | 1.22 | 2.4 |
| Rim · Catch and shoot · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 61 % of 1 477 | 1 | 1.22 | 1.2 |
| Rim · Pull-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 61 % of 1 477 | 1 | 1.22 | 1.2 |
| Three · Driveonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 32 % of 1 762 | 1 | 0.97 | 1.0 |
| Three · Catch and shoot32 % of 1 020 league shots | 15 | 0.97 | 14.6 |
| Three · Catch and shoot · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 33 % of 1 360 | 4 | 0.98 | 3.9 |
| Three · Catch and shoot · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 33 % of 1 360 | 2 | 0.98 | 2.0 |
| Three · Catch and shoot · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 33 % of 1 360 | 1 | 0.98 | 1.0 |
| Three · Pull-up33 % of 206 league shots | 2 | 0.98 | 2.0 |
| Total adds up | 54 | 0.95 | 51.4 |