His shots are worth a little less than the league's, and he makes them for less.
How we counted it
| Expected points: his 42 shots, kind by kind | 41.9 |
|---|---|
| ÷ 42 shots | 1.00 |
| Points from the floor: 2 × 12 + 4 | 28 |
| ÷ 42 shots | 0.67 |
Expected points are measured against league rates through round 19.
| Kind of shot | Shots | Worth | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mid-range · Post-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 36 % of 1 026 | 1 | 0.73 | 0.7 |
| Mid-range · Post-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 36 % of 1 026 | 1 | 0.73 | 0.7 |
| Mid-range · Catch and shootonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 36 % of 1 026 | 5 | 0.73 | 3.7 |
| Mid-range · Catch and shoot · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 36 % of 1 026 | 1 | 0.73 | 0.7 |
| Mid-range · Pull-up38 % of 383 league shots | 1 | 0.76 | 0.8 |
| Rim · Drive61 % of 827 league shots | 3 | 1.22 | 3.7 |
| Rim · Drive · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 62 % of 1 240 | 1 | 1.24 | 1.2 |
| Rim · Drive · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 62 % of 1 240 | 1 | 1.24 | 1.2 |
| Rim · Post-uponly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 54 % of 203 | 2 | 1.08 | 2.2 |
| Rim · Post-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 54 % of 203 | 1 | 1.08 | 1.1 |
| Rim · Pull-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 62 % of 1 756 | 1 | 1.24 | 1.3 |
| Rim · Pull-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 62 % of 1 756 | 1 | 1.24 | 1.2 |
| Three · Catch and shoot34 % of 1 117 league shots | 14 | 1.01 | 14.2 |
| Three · Catch and shoot · second chance38 % of 208 league shots | 2 | 1.15 | 2.3 |
| Three · Catch and shoot · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 34 % of 1 535 | 5 | 1.02 | 5.1 |
| Three · Pull-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 31 % of 350 | 1 | 0.93 | 0.9 |
| Three · Pull-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 31 % of 350 | 1 | 0.93 | 0.9 |
| Total adds up | 42 | 1.00 | 41.9 |